Very confident Champions League pick! 欧冠尤文图斯VS巴黎圣曼
2022-11-02

Ricards

外籍分析师

欧冠

11/03 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

On the last day of the UEFA Champions League group stage, Juventus is going to host Paris Saint-Germain. Juventus won't qualify for the next Champions League phase but they can secure a spot in the Europa League as they are tied with Maccabi for 3rd place. Juventus will be 3rd if they at least match the outcome of Maccabi's result. PSG is tied for the 1st place with Benfica and they also need to at least match Benfica's outcome in order to secure the 1st spot.

Juventus have won the last 3 straight home games for the 1st time since February but overall the results haven't been so great as they have 3 wins and 3 losses in the last 6 games. Saint-Germain is 1 of the 2 teams in TOP5 European leagues that haven't recorded a loss this season. PSG is competitive in every game as the team has won their final group stage game in each of their last 4 Champions League campaigns while scoring at least 4 goals on each occasion!

If we compare xG stats, the advantage goes to PSG. At home, Juventus is expected to score 1.83 goals while PSG on the road is expected to score 2.16 goals. Juventus is 1 of the worst teams at home, as the Italians are expected to allow 2.12 goals but the French team is expected to allow 1.62 goals on the road. In front of their fans, Juventus has scored 4 times and conceded 3 but PSG has 4 goals and 2 allowed away from home.

There's a major injury bug at the Juventus camp. Paul Pogba is still recovering from the injury but the team is going also to miss its best goal scorer Dusan Vlahovic. Weston McKennie picked up a muscular problem in the last Serie A game. Marley Ake, Leandro Paredes, Danilo, Angel Di Maria and many other players are out but for PSG the injured list is clear! The team will miss Neymar who has too many yellow cards but Marco Verratti will be back from suspension.

An in-form and fully fit Juventus would have their work cut out dealing with PSG right now, so it's hard to hold out much hope for them when they can't buy a win in Europe and can barely cobble a bench together due to injuries. PSG, meanwhile, looks like they are really in the mood and Lionel Messi is in especially fabulous form. They shouldn't struggle for motivation either given they are still to secure the top spot in the group.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在欧冠小组赛的最后一天,尤文图斯将主场迎战巴黎圣日耳曼。尤文图斯将无法进入下一阶段的欧冠,但他们可以确保一个欧联杯席位,因为他们与马卡比并列第三。如果尤文至少能达到马卡比的成绩,他们将排在第三。圣日耳曼与本菲卡并列第一,他们也需要至少赶上本菲卡的成绩才能保住第一的位置。

尤文图斯自2月份以来第一次在主场取得了3连胜,但总的来说,他们在过去6场比赛中取得了3胜3负的成绩,结果并不理想。圣日耳曼是本赛季欧洲五大联赛中两支没有输过球的球队之一。圣日耳曼在每一场比赛中都很有竞争力,因为这支球队在最近4次欧冠联赛中都赢得了最后一场小组赛,而且每次都至少打进4球!

如果我们比较xG的数据,优势属于PSG。在主场,尤文图斯有望打进1.83球,而客场的巴黎圣日耳曼有望打进2.16球。尤文图斯是主场表现最差的球队之一,意大利人预计将失球2.12个,而法国队预计将在客场失球1.62个。在他们的球迷面前,尤文图斯进了4球丢了3球,而巴黎圣日耳曼在客场进了4球丢了2球。

尤文图斯训练营出现了严重的伤病问题。保罗·博格巴还在从伤病中恢复,但球队也将失去最好的射手杜桑·弗拉霍维奇。韦斯顿·麦肯尼在上一场意甲比赛中肌肉出现了问题。马利·阿克、莱安德罗·帕雷德斯、达尼洛、迪玛利亚和许多其他球员都缺阵了,但巴黎圣日耳曼的受伤名单很清楚!球队将会想念内马尔,因为他已经吃了太多黄牌,但是Marco Verratti将会从禁赛中回来。

一个状态良好、状态良好的尤文图斯现在要对付巴黎圣日耳曼就很困难了,所以很难对他们抱有多大的希望,因为他们在欧洲买不到一场胜利,而且由于伤病的原因,他们的替补阵容也很难凑齐。与此同时,巴黎圣日耳曼看起来真的很有心情,梅西的状态特别好。考虑到他们仍然要确保小组第一的位置,他们也不应该为动力而挣扎。


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