Real Sociedad VS Real Betis
Real Sociedad welcome Real Betis for this Spanish LaLiga round 12 battle at Reale Arena in San Sebastian early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league in the world after English Premier League. I expect a high-level but definitely more low-scoring clash then the betting market estimates.The biggest, sharpest bookies with the biggest stake limits have set the goal expectancy at around 2.25. My estimation is just 2.12.. A draw would certainly not surprise anyone and the probability of this result is 31%. This result would be enough for me fans and me to win yet another bet betting on LaLiga with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap option on the visitors. We have won 13/14 of the latest picks on this fine league at the time of writing this preview! Here the chance of winning is 58%. We we have to take Sociedad's substantial home advantage into account. Betis have a very solid defense indeed and I think they would be okay with a draw. The visitors' defense is extremely well-structured and the defenders' individual skill level is also high! The midfielders also actively participate in defending making Betis a tough unit to break for any team! They have allowed just eight goals so far this season! This is the second-lowest in LaLiga – only Barcelona have conceded less goals – four.
By pure class I see the visitors as marginally the better team here. Last season they finished in 5th place with 65 points to their account and goal difference of 62:40. The hosts, on the other hand, ended up in 6th place with 62 points and a goal difference of 40:37. Not much has changed after last season. At the moment Real Sociedad have two more points in the bank than Betis but the hosts have worse score difference – 16:13. Indeed, in terms of defensive quality Betis have looked much better so far. Moreover, they have not allowed any goals in the latest three away games and took a fine 1-0 win on Thursday in Bulgaria in UEFA Europa League against a surprisingly strong team Ludogorets who even beat a big Italian club Roma in this same competition in September. Betis, in fact, beat Roma 2-1 after a great performance a few weeks ago. Especially defensively ir was an astonishing effort - Betis allowed Roma's very dangerous offensive players a somewhat limited number of good scoring chances. Before the trip to Bulgaria Betis would have deserved a narrow win over the third-best team in the league, Atletico Madrid, at home. They recorded 1.56 in expected goals – Tico's number was just 0.55! The visitors, however, robbed all three points through a 2-1 away win. Furthermore, on the 19th of this month, they had to settle for a goalless draw against Cadiz away from home despite being the better team. They recorded 60% ball possession and more passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They were a bit lame offensively though and lacked creativity near the hosts' goal. Even so, they recorded more in expected goals than Cadiz who are a nasty team to play against at their stadium. Yesterday they even beat Atletico Madrid 3-2! The hosts took a controlled 2-0 win over a pretty limited team, Omonia, in Cyprus this Thursday in Europa League as very clear favorites on the betting market. Before this their offensive problems - a major issue for them especially last season - once again cost them all three points as they lost to a quite weak team Valladolid 0-1 on the road despite having 75% ball possession.
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皇家社会VS皇家贝蒂斯
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北京时间周一凌晨,皇家社会欢迎皇家贝蒂斯参加西甲联赛第12轮的比赛。这是世界上第二好的联赛,仅次于英超。我预计会有一场高水平但得分肯定比博彩市场估计的要低的比赛。最大、最精明、赌注上限最大的博彩公司将预期目标设定在2.25左右。我估计只有2.12..平局肯定不会让任何人感到意外,出现这种结果的概率是31%。这样的结果足以让我和我的球迷赢得另一个在LaLiga与推荐的+0.5球的客队障碍选项打赌。在撰写这篇预览文章的时候,我们已经赢得了这个优秀联盟中13/14个最新的选择!这里的中奖概率是58%我们必须考虑到Sociedad的主场优势。贝蒂斯的防守非常稳固,我认为他们会接受平局。客队的防守结构非常好,防守队员的个人技术水平也很高!中场球员也积极参与防守,这让贝蒂斯成为任何球队都难以突破的一支队伍!本赛季到目前为止,他们只丢了8个球!这在西甲联赛中是倒数第二的,只有巴萨丢了4个球。
纯从级别上来说,我认为客队在这里略胜一筹。上赛季他们以65分排名第五,净胜球62:40。另一方面,东道主以62分和40:37的净胜球排名第6。上个赛季之后没有太大的变化。目前皇家社会在积分榜上比贝蒂斯多两分,但主队的比分差距更大——16:13。事实上,就防守质量而言,贝蒂斯到目前为止看起来要好得多。此外,他们在最近的三场客场比赛中一球未失,并于周四在保加利亚的欧联杯比赛中1-0完胜实力惊人的球队卢多戈列茨,后者甚至在9月份的同一场比赛中击败了意大利豪门罗马。事实上,贝蒂斯在几周前的出色表现后,以2-1击败了罗马。尤其是在防守端,贝蒂斯的表现令人惊讶——罗马的进攻球员非常危险,但贝蒂斯给了他们有限的进球机会。在前往保加利亚之前,贝蒂斯本应该在主场以微弱优势战胜联赛第三强的马德里竞技。他们的预期进球数为1.56,而Tico的预期进球数仅为0.55!然而,客队在客场2-1取胜,抢走了全部三分。此外,在本月19日,他们不得不在客场与加的斯零比零战平,尽管他们是一支更好的球队。他们记录了60%的控球率和更多的传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。尽管如此,他们在进攻端还是有些欠缺,在主队的球门附近缺乏创造力。即便如此,他们的预期进球数还是超过了加的斯,而加的斯在他们的球场上是一支令人讨厌的球队。昨天他们甚至3-2击败了马德里竞技!本周四,在塞浦路斯的欧联杯比赛中,东道主以2-0的比分战胜了实力有限的球队Omonia,这在博彩市场上是非常受欢迎的。在此之前,他们的进攻问题——尤其是上赛季的一个主要问题——再次让他们失去了三分,尽管他们有75%的控球率,但在客场0-1输给了实力相当弱的瓦拉多利德。