Finn Harps VS UC Dublin

Finn Harps and UC Dublin lock horns in this Irish Premier Division round 35 battle at Finn Park in Ballybofey early Saturday morning Beijing time. A total of 36 rounds will be played. This is a low-level league by European standards but me job is to make money for my fans and myself and this this yet another lucrative match to bet on Irish football! The stakes are high here as both teams are in a desperate fight to avoid relegation. The team who finishes in the last place (10th) are relegated to the 2nd tier, Division 1 for next season. At the moment UC Dublin are in the 9th place with 23 points to their account and a goal difference of 25:64. Finn Harps, on the other hand, have grabbed 20 points so far and have netted the ball 32 times and allowed 66 goals. As the gap in points between the clubs is three points the hosts need to go for the win – even taking perhaps even big risks in the second half if the score is level. This decreases the chance of a draw and increases both teams' chance of winning. This works well for my fans and me as we are betting on the hosts to win with a chance of 58%.

By raw class I see the hosts as the better team despite the standings suggesting otherwise. Their key players are better than UC Dublin's and I hope they will prove that on the pitch here. In terms expected points(xPTS) they would have deserved 27 points and in terms of expected goals(xG) they would have deserved 31 goals. As for the the visitors the situation is the opposite: They would have deserved just 19 points in terms of xPTS and 22 goals in terms of xG. These statistics surely in part explain the under-valuation on the betting market here. The other main explanatory factor must be the fact that UC Dublin have been in slightly better form results-wise recently.. They also have a very good team spirit as I have mentioned before and many bettors and bookies are aware of this but I think this factor is given too much emphasis ahead of this very high stakes battle. However, on the pitch Finn Harps have, in my view,looked a little better than the visitors as whole in their latest 5-7 games. We must also keep in mind that UC Dublin are a horribly bad team on the road and have lost 12 of the 17 games away from home! It is true Finn Harps do not have the best fans in this league but I expect a good number of loyal fans to be at the stadium to boost their team in this super-important clash! In their most recent match they fought well away from home against Bohemians and took a draw through a 2-2 draw. Finn Harp's Mihaljevic even missed a penalty in the 41th minute. Overall, Bohemians, the clear favorites in this match – priced around 2.00 to win by the bookies were slightly better team in this match with 65% ball possession but Finn Harps still recorded more shots on goal. I was positively surprised to see how well they attacked in this match – a good sing ahead of this game against the vulnerable UC Dublin defense.. They have improved their level of football, especially defensively, from the early season but have had luck on their side in quite a few games. In their most recent match they robbed a point from Shelbourne away from home through a 1-1 draw despite the hosts having 74% ball possession and recording much more shots on target, scoring attempts, passes, completed passes attacks and dangerous attacks. UC Dublin, in fact, recorded just one shot on Shelbourne's goal.

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芬恩·哈珀斯VS都柏林大学

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北京时间周六凌晨，芬恩·哈珀斯和都柏林大学在爱尔兰超级联赛第35轮的比赛中针锋相对。比赛共进行36轮。按照欧洲标准，这是一个低水平的联赛，但我的工作是为我的球迷和我自己赚钱，这是又一场赌爱尔兰足球赚钱的比赛!这里的赌注很高，因为两支球队都在拼命保级。最后一名(第10名)的球队下赛季将降级到第2级别，第1级别。目前都柏林大学排名第九，积23分净胜球25:64。另一方面，芬恩·哈珀斯到目前为止已经拿到了20分，进球32次，失球66个。由于两家俱乐部的积分差距是3分，东道主需要争取胜利——如果比分持平，甚至可能在下半场冒更大的风险。这降低了平局的几率，增加了两队获胜的几率。这对我和我的球迷来说都很有效，因为我们打赌东道主会以58%的几率获胜。

在我看来，东道主是一支更好的球队，尽管他们的排名表明情况并非如此。他们的关键球员比都柏林大学的好，我希望他们能在这里的球场上证明这一点。从预期积分(xPTS)来看，他们应该得到27分，从预期进球数(xG)来看，他们应该得到31球。而客队的情况则正好相反:他们在xPTS方面只配得19分，在xG方面只配得22球。这些统计数字一定程度上解释了中国博彩市场的低估。另一个主要的解释因素肯定是都柏林大学最近成绩略好。正如我之前提到的，他们也有很好的团队精神，许多投注者和赌徒都意识到这一点，但我认为在这场高风险的战斗之前，这个因素被过分强调了。然而，在球场上，在我看来，芬恩-哈珀斯在最近的5-7场比赛中比客队整体表现要好一些。我们还必须记住都柏林大学在客场是一支非常糟糕的球队，在17场客场比赛中输掉了12场!芬恩哈普斯确实没有联赛中最好的球迷，但我希望在这场超级重要的比赛中，会有很多忠实的球迷来到球场为他们的球队助威!在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场与波西米亚人打得很好，并以2比2战平。芬恩·哈普的米哈耶维奇甚至在第41分钟罚丢了一个点球。总的来说，波西米亚队，这场比赛中最受欢迎的球队，被博彩公司赌了大约2.00英镑，在这场比赛中表现稍好，控球率为65%，但芬恩·哈珀斯仍然记录了更多的射门。看到他们在这场比赛中的出色进攻，我感到非常惊讶——在面对都柏林大学脆弱的防守之前，这是一场不错的比赛。从赛季初开始，他们提高了自己的足球水平，尤其是防守水平，但在相当多的比赛中，他们的运气都在自己这边。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们客场1-1逼平了谢尔伯恩，尽管东道主的控球率高达74%，射正次数、射门次数、传球次数、成功传球次数和危险进攻次数都大大增加。事实上，都柏林大学只记录了谢尔伯恩的一次射门。