The BEST Champions League pick!
2022-10-25

Ricards

外籍分析师

欧冠

10/26 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

UEFA Champions League is back! In Group F, the 2 best teams are meeting - RB Leipzig and Real Madrid. While Leipzig sits at the 2nd position and is still competing for qualification to the next round, Real is at the top with 10 points and they already have a guaranteed spot in the next phase but with at least 1 point in this game, they will secure the 1st spot. Leipzig had a bad start to the season but right now the team is rolling as they have 5 wins and 2 draws in the last 7 games and on the weekend they came back from 0:3 against Augsburg. Real has been excellent all season long and they have the same record as Leipzig in the last 7 games.

Of course, there could be some changes in the rotation, and Ballon d'Or winner Karim Benzema won't play. At the same time, Real is one of the richest clubs in the world and they have many great players. Madrid in every game is going after victory and this game won't be different, especially knowing that Real has lost only 1 of their last 10 Champions League group stage away games, and are unbeaten across their last 5 European ties away to German opponents.

If we look at xG stats, they are very similar. Leipzig is expected to score 2.08 goals (15th best) while playing at home but Real is expected to score 2.19 goals on the road (6th best). From the defensive perspective, Leipzig is expected to allow 1.11 goals in front of their fans but for Madrid, it is 1.34 on the road. Overall, Leipzig has a total of 6 goals scored and 7 conceded (4:5 at home) while Madrid has scored 8 times and allowed 2 (4:1).

The good news for both teams is that no new injuries have happened in the recent games. Carlo Ancelotti's desire to secure the first spot in the section should mean a strong starting 11 in this one. Leipzig is in strong form at the moment and certainly has the tools to harm the reigning Spanish and European champions in this match. It is so difficult to back Real Madrid not winning at the moment, but this is a tough game for Ancelotti's side so I'm predicting that the team won't lose.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

欧洲冠军联赛回来了!在F组,两支最好的球队相遇——莱比锡和皇家马德里。莱比锡排名第二,仍在为下一轮的出线而竞争,而皇马则以10分位居榜首,他们已经有了下一阶段的出线保证,但只要本场比赛拿到至少1分,他们就能确保第1的出线资格。莱比锡本赛季开局不佳,但现在球队正在节节高升,他们在过去的7场比赛中取得了5胜2平的成绩,周末他们从0:3战胜奥格斯堡。皇马整个赛季都表现出色,他们在过去7场比赛中取得了和莱比锡一样的战绩。

当然,轮换阵容可能会有一些变化,金球奖得主本泽马将不会出场。同时,皇马是世界上最富有的俱乐部之一,他们有很多伟大的球员。皇马每场比赛都在追求胜利,本场比赛也不会例外,尤其是皇马在最近10场欧冠小组赛客场比赛中只输了1场,而且在最近5场欧冠客场对阵德国对手的比赛中保持不败。

如果我们看看xG的统计数据,就会发现它们非常相似。莱比锡有望在主场打进2.08球(排名第15),而皇马有望在客场打进2.19球(排名第6)。从防守的角度来看,莱比锡在球迷面前的失球率预计为1.11球,而皇马在客场的失球率预计为1.34球。总的来说,莱比锡进6球失7球(主场4:5),而马德里进8球失2球(主场4:1)。

对两支球队来说,好消息是在最近的比赛中没有出现新的伤病。卡洛·安切洛蒂想要确保在小组赛的第一个位置,这意味着在这一阶段应该有一个强有力的首发11人。莱比锡目前状态强劲,当然有能力在这场比赛中伤害西班牙和欧洲冠军。现在很难相信皇马不会赢,但这对安切洛蒂的球队来说是一场艰难的比赛,所以我预测球队不会输。


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