A strong La Liga pick today!
2022-10-22

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

10/23 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

It won’t be easy but Valencia should achieve the victory here.

Valencia is playing very well, but lacking consistency and regularity to maintain the level for the whole match. Even the coach said that they have identified the problem - the team is just playing well for 50-60 minutes, and then they go down and are conceding goals. This happened against Elche, Sevilla, Osasuna.

But they are doing great performances, are unbeaten in the last 5 games and this match looks like a key game for them: before the WC break they will have to play against Barcelona (home), Real Sociedad (away) and Betis (home). All top teams and in great form, and very difficult to reach points there. So this one is the last game “winnable” for them. At home, and against a weak rival who will also leave them to have the ball possession and domination, as Valencia wants.

Mallorca is a very defensive team and difficult to beat. Key striker Muriqi is back from suspension. They are winless in the last 4 games, and although they lost the three games (Real Sociedad, Sevilla, Barcelona) by just 1 goal difference (1:0 or 0:1), I see them several steps below Valencia.

Their plan for this match will be the same: park the bus and try to kill Valencia at counters. But this plan never worked this season against top teams, because Mallorca lost all of them (the ones mentioned above, Betis, Real Madrid). Only achieved a goalless draw against Athletic where Mallorca’s goalkeeper Rajkovic was the man of the match.

Valencia is showing their best level at home and this match is the kind of game which must be won if they want to fight for Europe. They are clearly a better team, will play at home and against a rival who will leave them to dominate and have the ball possession. Valencia just need to be careful with the counters and find the spaces to score goals, with patience. Mallorca will be happy with the draw, they won’t play for a win and when this happens, the team use to lose.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这并不容易,但瓦伦西亚应该会在这里取得胜利。

瓦伦西亚踢得很好,但缺乏连贯性和规律性,无法在整场比赛中保持水平。甚至教练也说他们已经发现了问题——球队仅仅在50-60分钟内踢得很好,然后他们就倒下了,丢了球。这发生在对埃尔切、塞维利亚和奥萨苏纳的比赛中。

但他们表现出色,在过去的5场比赛中保持不败,这场比赛看起来对他们来说是一场关键的比赛:在世界杯休会之前,他们将不得不对阵巴塞罗那(主场)、皇家社会(客场)和贝蒂斯(主场)。所有的顶级球队状态都很好,在那里拿到分非常困难。所以对他们来说,这是最后一场“可以赢”的游戏。在主场,面对一个虚弱的对手,他们也会让他们拥有球权和控制权,这是瓦伦西亚想要的。

马洛卡是一支防守很强的球队,很难被击败。主力前锋穆里奇从停赛中复出。他们在过去的4场比赛中一球未胜,尽管他们输掉了3场比赛(皇家社会,塞维利亚,巴塞罗那),仅以1个净胜球的差距(1:0或0:1),我认为他们比巴伦西亚低了好几级。

他们对这场比赛的计划是一样的:把车停好,然后在柜台处干掉瓦伦西亚。但这个计划在本赛季面对顶级球队时从未奏效,因为马洛卡输掉了所有的顶级球队(上面提到的那些,贝蒂斯,皇家马德里)。只在与竞技的比赛中0 - 0战平,马洛卡的门将拉伊科维奇成为了本场比赛的最佳球员。

瓦伦西亚在主场展示了他们最好的水平,如果他们想为欧洲冠军而战,这场比赛是他们必须赢得的比赛。他们显然是一支更好的球队,将在主场比赛,面对一个让他们统治和控球的对手。瓦伦西亚只需要小心防守,耐心地寻找进球的空间。马洛卡会对平局感到高兴,他们不会为了胜利而比赛,当这种情况发生时,球队通常会输。

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