75% correct La Liga picks!
2022-10-22

Ricards

外籍分析师

西甲

10/22 20:00

已完赛

解读理由:

The first Spanish La Liga game this weekend is going to be between Rayo Vallecano and Cadiz. After 10 games, Vallecano has 12 points which give them the 10th position while Cadiz is already fighting for staying in the league because they have 7 points and they sit in the 19th position. There should be positive emotions in the Vallecano's camp as the team started this week with a draw against Atletico. Cadiz players could also be in a good mood as they have drawn 4 last games so they are collecting points.

If the team is 1 of the worst in the standings, the problem is with scoring and defending. Cadiz has only 4 goals (all of them in the last 5 games) and 17 conceded while Vallecano has 11 scored goals and 13 conceded. The home team isn't at the top in total scoring but they are expected to score 1.89 goals at home which is the 6th best xG result while Cadiz on the road is expected to score only 0.78 goals (2nd worst). On different sides teams are on defense as well because Vallecano is expected to allow only 1.17 goals at home (4th best) but Cadiz is expected to allow 2.05 on the road (2nd worst).

There are no new injuries in the Vallecano's roster, and the head coach Andoni Iraola is expected to keep faith with the majority of the side that started against Atletico last time out, and the same goes for Cadiz.

Although the last results for Cadiz haven't been very bad, they are still at the bottom and Rayo Vallecano is the favorite here. Rayo Vallecano is unbeaten in their last six home games against Cadiz, claiming three wins and three draws since October 2009. It won't be easy for Vallecano but they should be able to secure 3 points as they are better performing team and the draw against Atletico should lift up their emotions. The important thing - the value is there even if the odd comes down.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

本周末的第一场西甲比赛将在巴列卡诺和加的斯之间进行。10场比赛后,巴列卡诺积12分,排名第10,而加的斯已经在为留在联赛而奋斗,因为他们积7分,排名第19。巴列卡诺人的阵营中应该有积极的情绪,因为球队在本周开始战平马竞。加的斯的球员也可能心情很好,因为他们已经在过去的4场比赛中打成平局,所以他们正在收集积分。

如果球队是积分榜上最差的球队之一,问题就出在得分和防守上。加的斯只进了4球(都是在最近的5场比赛中)丢了17球,而巴列卡诺进了11球丢了13球。主队在总进球数上并不是最好的,但他们预计在主场进1.89球,这是xG排名第六的最佳成绩,而客场的加的斯预计只进0.78球(倒数第二)。不同的球队也有防守,因为巴列卡诺预计在主场只失球1.17个(排名第四),而加的斯预计在客场失球2.05个(排名第二)。

巴列卡诺的球员名单上没有新的伤病,主教练安多尼·伊拉拉预计会保留上次对阵马竞的首发阵容,加的斯也一样。

虽然加的斯最近的成绩还不是很糟糕,但他们仍然在积分榜垫底,巴列卡诺是最受欢迎的人选。自2009年10月以来,巴列卡诺在最近6次主场对阵加的斯保持不败,取得了3胜3平的成绩。这对巴列卡诺来说并不容易,但他们应该能够拿到3分,因为他们是一支表现更好的球队,与马竞的平局应该会提升他们的情绪。重要的是,即使奇数下降,值也在那里。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。