I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on hosts raised up by 0.20 from opening odds and now I see excellent value on home side.

Both sides with strong line ups, so it's more like stats bets, but I believe those odds are simply incorrect and I see bigger chances for hosts than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

Union coming in good mood as they didn't lost in 3 of last 4 matches in all competitions. On the other hand Catolica failed to win in last 4 consecutive matches.

Catolica is not strong away team - they failed to win in 9 of 12 away matches in current season so far. On the other hand Union is solid at home as they didn't lost in 10 of 13 home league matches.

Home advantage should make big difference here, it's visible on the H2H - Union didn't lost in 9 of last 11 home matches against Catolica in all competitions.

I really don't see hosts as underdog in this game. Value is on home side.