Gijon vs Eibar

Gijon host Eibar for this LaLiga2 round 11 clash at Estadio El Molinón early Tuesday Beijing time. This is the second tier of Spanish football and is among the best second levels of any country’s football. The biggest, sharpest bookies with the highest stake limits see the hosts as favorites here but I cannot agree with this estimation! Sure, the home advantage is there but Gijon are not a particularly strong home team. For example, last season they were the 4th-worst home team in this league. They finished in 17th place which was a big disappointment for the club and especially for its fans. I believe they can improve a bit but clearly the bookies trust them a lot more than I do.. Eibar, on the other hand, played a very strong last season and finished in 3rd place! The grabbed a total of 80 points and had a very good score difference of 61:45. Not that much has really changed from last season after all. I expect another good season for them and would not be too surprised to see them being promoted to LaLiga for next season.

Eibar are better than the hosts in all areas of the game. The biggest difference in their favor is in defensive quality. Eibar’s defenders are more skilled as individuals and their defensive structure has also looked more solid. They currently occupy the 6th place in the standings with a total of 18 points. In terms of expected points, however, they would have deserved 21 points. The hosts have a pretty positive start to the season taking 15 points so far. However, I do not believe they can finish in top10 - they are now in 10th position, but I only rate them as the 14th best team in this league in my power ratings the reflect the teams’ pure class. I have not been fully convinced by their performance on the pitch in their most recent games. Four days ago, they were a mess defensively and Granada, a team who are in 7th place humiliates them winning 5-0! Before this, they did beat Villarreal B 3-1 at home as very clear favorites on the betting market but the much was, in reality, pretty balanced. The ball possession was almost 50-50% and both teams had the same number of scoring attempts – 11. The visitors even recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. Eibar, on the other hand were very good in their most recent game beating Ibiza on the road 2-1. They had 60% ball possession and recorded much more scoring attempts (17-6) as well as passes, completed passes, attacks, dangerous attacks and expected goals. With the recommend +0.5 goals handicap bet on the visitors my fans and I have a 74% chance of winning this match with a low number of expected goals – 1.86 to be precise.