Almeria asian handicap -0.5 or -0.75 is my bet here.

Almeria (3rd) is a very strong team in 2nd division, whose main target is the promotion. After a good period or results, they have lost two games in a row and now are 3 points below 2nd place (promotion without playoffs), so the victory here is mandatory.

Is truth that both defeats came against very strong teams like Mallorca (1st) and Leganes (4th). And also the coach has been making rotations lately, which decreased the level of the team. For this match, he will finally put on the field the best possible lineup.

I’m expecting a reaction in one of the strongest teams in this category, against a very weak rival. At their best level, Almeria is unstoppable.

Lugo (13th) is an average side whose main target is to avoid relegation. They are 6 points above, so there are no urgencies in the team. Winless in the last 9 away games in 2nd division, I dont see them able to achieve some point here.

Almeria has a lot of quality upfront (they are the best offensive team in the league, 38 goals scored in 26 rounds) with Sadiq as main striker, while Lugo is a weak side who will suffer today two important absences: Hugo Rama and Arvin Appiah.

Match will be dominated by Almeria, who must get back to their best level if they want to achieve the target. And today, with the best lineup after several weeks of rotations, I’m expecting that. Lugo will be defensive as always and try to score at counters or set pieces, but I see Almeria strong enough to avoid conceding a goal on such actions.

The victory for the hosts is mandatory and I’m confident they will achieve it.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

阿尔梅里亚(第三名)是一支非常强大的乙级球队，他们的主要目标是晋级。在一段良好的时期或结果之后，他们已经连续输了两场比赛，现在比第二名低3分(没有季后赛的晋级)，所以在这里获胜是必须的。

事实是，两次失败都是输给了非常强大的球队，比如马洛卡(第1名)和莱加内斯(第4名)。而且教练最近一直在轮换，这降低了球队的水平。在这场比赛中，他最终将使出最好的阵容。

我期待着这个类别中最强的一支队伍对一个非常弱的对手的反应。在他们最好的水平，阿尔梅里亚是不可阻挡的。

卢戈(第十三)是一支以保级为主要目标的普通球队。他们比对手高出6分，所以球队没有什么紧急情况。在乙级联赛的最后9场客场比赛中都没有获胜，我不认为他们能在这里取得什么成绩。

阿尔梅里亚有很多有实力的前锋(他们是联赛中进攻最好的球队，26轮进了38个球)，萨迪克是主力前锋，而卢戈是一支实力较弱的球队，他们今天将遭受两场重要的缺阵:雨果·拉玛和阿尔文·阿皮亚。

比赛将由阿尔梅里亚主导，如果他们想要达到目标，他们必须回到他们最好的水平。而今天，在经过数周的轮值之后，我们有了最好的阵容，我很期待。卢戈将一如既往地防守，试图在反击或定位球上得分，但我认为阿尔梅里亚足够强大，不会在这些行动中失球。

东道主的胜利是必须的，我有信心他们能做到。