Who wins El Clasico?
2022-10-16

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

10/16 22:15

已完赛

解读理由:

I see Real Madrid as favorites in this Clasico.

Although they will miss Courtois, the team is playing very well and full of confidence. In the midweek game against Shakhtar they used some reserves, resting key players for this crucial fixture for the leadership of La Liga.

Physically they look above Barcelona, thanks to the great moment and the help of players like Tchouameni or Fede Valverde, both probably starters tomorrow.

Real Madrid will be looking for revenge after the last Clasico in Santiago Bernabeu, where they lost 0:4 in a humiliation game for them. Coach Ancelotti learnt the lesson from that game and said that he won't make any experiment or changes (as did in that match).

Furthermore, key players like Benzema are still far from his best moment, and why not a game like this one to recover his best level.

On the other hand, Barcelona is really affected by the game against Inter. Busquets already said that surely that game was going to affect them for El Clasico, as they are almost out of the Champions League which was a very important target for them this season.

Their performances since the international break have been so poor. They lost some key players due to injuries with their national teams (Kounde and Araujo) and the defense was awful. Kounde probably will play today but he is still doubtful and isn’t at 100% yet.

Since the international break, Barcelona struggled a lot to beat Mallorca (relegation team) 0:1, lost 1:0 against Inter, won undeservedly against Celta 1:0 (Celta deserved to draw) and drew 3:3 vs Inter.

Busquets is on a really poor level while their defense is having mistakes everywhere, especially the players who most probably will be starters here like Eric Garcia, Marcos Alonso or Balde.

Seeing how both teams are playing, we will probably see an open game. Real Madrid has better players for this, with more pace and physic to afford that. Barcelona has a midfield with players like Pedri or Gavi who can’t be everywhere and the team will struggle a lot in this kind of match, as they did against Inter. Simply, they are not prepared (without Kounde and Araujo) for a high pace/intensity game.

According to the current level of both teams, I see Madrid favorites to win here. This added to the home factor plus the motivation they will have after the last humiliation here (0:4) makes me see them as favorites to win.


我认为皇家马德里是这场德比的热门。

虽然他们会缺少库尔图瓦,但球队打得很好,充满了信心。在周中对阵矿工的比赛中,他们进行了一些轮换,让关键球员休息,以备战西甲领袖的关键比赛。

身体上,他们看起来比巴塞罗那更好,这要归功于伟大的时刻以及 Tchouameni 或 Fede Valverde 等球员的帮助,他们都可能是明天的首发球员。

皇家马德里将在圣地亚哥伯纳乌的最后一场 Clasico 之后寻求报复,他们在一场羞辱的比赛中以 0:4 输掉了比赛。教练安切洛蒂从那场比赛中吸取了教训,并表示他不会做任何实验或改变(就像那场比赛那样)。

此外,像本泽马这样的主力球员还远未达到最佳状态,何不来一场这样的比赛来恢复他的最佳状态。

另一方面,巴萨确实受到了与国米的比赛的影响。布斯克茨已经说过那场比赛肯定会影响他们的国家德比,因为他们几乎无缘欧冠,这对他们来说是本赛季非常重要的目标。

自国际比赛日以来,他们的表现一直很差。由于国家队(昆德和阿劳霍)的伤病,他们失去了一些关键球员,防守也很糟糕。

Kounde 可能会在今天上场,但他仍然持怀疑态度,还没有达到 100%。

国际比赛日以来,巴萨苦苦挣扎,1:0击败马洛卡(保级队),0:1不敌国米,1:0败给塞尔塔(塞尔塔本应战平),3:3战平国米。

布斯克茨的状态真的很差,而他们的防守到处都是失误,尤其是像埃里克·加西亚、马科斯·阿隆索或巴尔德这样最有可能成为首发的球员。

看看两支球队的比赛情况,我们可能会看到一场公开赛。皇家马德里为此拥有更好的球员,他们有更多的速度和体能来承担这一点。巴塞罗那的中场拥有像佩德里或加维这样的球员,他们不能无处不在而且球队在这种比赛中会很挣扎,就像他们对阵国米那样。简而言之,他们没有准备好(没有 Kounde 和 Araujo)进行高节奏/高强度的比赛。

按照两支球队目前的水平,我认为皇马是赢球热门。还有主场因素,加上他们在这里最后一次屈辱(0:4)后的动力,让我认为他们可以赢下比赛。

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