First Friday's bet is here!
2022-10-14

Borja

外籍分析师

德乙

10/15 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Furth absolutely don't have the shape to stand -0.5 here. They have been playing an awful season so far, and barely anybody understands why their new manager, Marc Schneider, has not been fired yet.

Furth's fans were actually not happy when the team beat Paderborn for their first season win in the last game before the international games break because it meant that Schneider wasn't fired. I partly understand them now because the first two games since the international's break were just awful: They tied with Sandhausen (1:1), who allowed almost nothing, and Furth found no solutions. Then last Friday, Furth played away at the worst team in the league, Regensburg. They achieved another draw (2:2), but it was their perhaps worst season display. Regensburg would have deserved the win, and Furth just scored twice out of nothing. Schneider gets another chance against Rostock, but the team shows zero development (if there is one, then it's negative).

With 12 official games played so far, they have collected just one victory (the one mentioned against Paderborn - 2:1 and a bit underserved, as they were outplayed).

On the other hand, Rostock are a very physical team with a very defensive philosophy. They become dangerous through set pieces, long balls and counter attacks. Furth should be a perfect match for them because this season has proven that Furth has massive problems against this type of opponent.

For example, Sandhausen has a similar philosophy like Rostock, and Furth created basically nothing in that match. Furth's only season win (against Paderborn) was facilitated by Paderborn's very offensive philosophy. But against teams of Rostock's style, Furth has always looked bad.

Rostock has lost just 5 games in 11 rounds, and all of them have been against strong teams(the current top7 in the league with promotion ambitions).

I see no indications of a turnaround for Furth among coach Schneider. Their (home) games against defensive opponents, like Rostock is one, have throughout been awful. Also, the club atmosphere is poor, and their manager is close to being sacked. Among these circumstances, +0.5 on Rostock should be a great bet here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

到目前为止,他们踢了一个糟糕的赛季,几乎没有人理解为什么他们的新教练马克·施耐德还没有被解雇。

当弗斯队在国际比赛前的最后一场比赛中击败帕德伯恩赢得他们的赛季首胜时,弗斯的球迷实际上并不高兴,因为这意味着施耐德没有被解雇。我现在部分地理解了他们,因为国际比赛日之后的前两场比赛太糟糕了:他们和桑德豪森(1:1)打平,桑德豪森几乎不给对方任何机会,弗斯也没有找到解决办法。上周五,弗斯客场对阵联赛中最差的球队雷根斯堡。他们取得了另一场平局(2:2),但这可能是他们本赛季最糟糕的表现。雷根斯堡本应赢得比赛,而弗斯刚刚两度破门。施耐德在对阵罗斯托克的比赛中获得了另一次机会,但球队没有取得任何进展(如果有的话,那就是消极的)。

到目前为止,他们已经进行了12场正式比赛,只取得了一场胜利(刚才提到的对帕德伯恩的那场比赛,2:1,他们的表现有点逊色,因为他们被对手击败了)。

另一方面,罗斯托克是一支非常注重身体对抗和防守的球队。他们通过定位球、长传和反击变得非常危险。弗斯应该是他们的完美对手,因为这个赛季证明了弗斯在面对这类对手时有很大的问题。

例如,桑德豪森拥有与罗斯托克相似的理念,而菲尔特在那场比赛中几乎没有创造任何东西。弗斯唯一的赛季胜利(对帕德伯恩)是由帕德伯恩非常积极的进攻理念促成的。但面对罗斯托克这样的球队,弗斯总是表现不佳。

罗斯托克队在11轮比赛中只输了5场比赛,而且所有的对手都是强队(目前联赛排名前7,有升班梦)。

我看不出施耐德教练有任何改变弗斯的迹象。他们(主场)对阵像罗斯托克这样的防守对手的比赛一直都很糟糕。此外,俱乐部的气氛很差,他们的教练几乎被解雇。在这些情况下,对罗斯托克不败应该是一个很好的选择。

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