Two strong picks for Europe!
2022-10-13

Borja

外籍分析师

欧罗巴

10/14 00:45

已完赛

欧协联

10/14 00:45

已完赛

解读理由:

PARTIZAN - KOLN

Interesting info here.

Partizan achieved an important victory in Germany 0:1 last week, and now are close to achieve the 1st position and qualify for the next round. Are in great form, unbeaten in the last 15 official games, just losing a cup game in penalties.

Full squad and motivation for this match. Also according to Serbian newspapers, the stadium will be full of fans today. And as you may know, the Serbian atmosphere in football is amazing with huge support for the home team and difficult scenarios for guests in Europe. And according to German newspapers, there won’t be any Koln fans because less than 100 tickets were sold.

In their weekend game (a victory 0:4 against Vozdovac) coach Petric rested 4 key players which were reserves: Filipović, Marković, Traore and Pavlović; in order to be at 100% for this fixture.

But Koln is the main reason for this pick. They have a long list of injuries (7 players in total). Some reserves but also some top players such as Jan Tillmann, Sebastian Andersson, Tim Lemperle, and the last one injured this weekend: Ljubicic. As coach Baumgart said: “It’s almost a tragedy for us”, “won’t be easy to replace him”. However, due to the double burden of the Bundesliga and the Conference League, he said that will "slowly run out of players".

I can’t see Koln favorite here. The atmosphere and support will be in favour of the home team, as well as the quality as they are better prepared for this game: full squad and players rested. Koln is without several key players and didn't make any rotation at the weekend, so I can’t see an easy game for them.

QARABAG - OLYMPIAKOS

We go again with the same pick as the previous week, where Qarabag won easily (0:4).

Quality difference was obvious in their match last week. Qarabag scored 4 times (plus a disallowed goal due to an offside in the first minutes of the match), dominated the game and was not in any real danger despite playing away. Now the fixture is reversed, Qarabag will be playing at home and Olympiakos will need to survive the journey to Baku that will be at least 6 hours including the layovers as there are no direct flights from Athens.

Qarabag is clearly in better shape than Olympiakos, and will need a win to be deemed favorites to qualify from this group. At the same time Olympiakos will be pressured for the win too, as in any other case, they will miss the few chances they have left to qualify.

Too many issues for Olympiakos, as they will again miss key players Bakambu and James Rodriguez (they are not included in the list for Europa League). They will also miss El Arabi, Retsos and Vaclik.

Also Vrsaliko was going to play against OFI at the weekend but left the starting eleven just a few hours before the kick off due to an illness.

On top of all that, they also might miss another center back - Cisse(CB), who committed a disciplinary in the match against Qarabag when he had an altercation with some fans of Olympiakos who were expressing their anger for his performance in the match (he was one of the worst for Olympiakos, 0-2 started from his mistake).

All that leaves Olympiakos with just Papastathopoulos and youngster Ntoi (who started at the weekend and made a mistake on OFI's opener for 1-0).

In the previous match,I was not sure of how the international break could affect the two teams. Now it looks very clear that Qarabag is a much better side and favorites here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

贝游击VS科隆

有趣的信息。

贝游击上周在德国取得了0:1的重要胜利,现在他们接近第1的位置并获得下一轮的资格。他们状态不错,最近15场正式比赛保持不败,只是在点球大战中输掉了一场杯赛。

本场比赛阵容齐全,干劲十足。据塞尔维亚报纸报道,今天体育场将会挤满球迷。正如你所知道的,塞尔维亚的足球氛围令人惊叹,对主队的大力支持和对欧洲客人的艰难处境。据德国报纸报道,不会有科隆的球迷,因为只卖出了不到100张票。

在他们周末的比赛中(0:4战胜沃日多瓦茨),主教练佩特里奇让4名替补球员休息:菲利波维奇、马尔科维奇、特劳雷和巴甫洛维奇;为了在这个比赛中达到100%的效率。

但科隆是这一选择的主要原因。他们的伤病名单很长(共有7名球员)。一些替补球员,但也有一些顶级球员,比如扬·蒂尔曼,塞巴斯蒂安·安德森,蒂姆·伦佩尔,还有本周末最后一位受伤的球员:柳比西奇。就像教练鲍姆加特说的:“这对我们来说几乎是一场悲剧”,“替换他并不容易”。然而,由于德甲和联盟联赛的双重负担,他表示将“慢慢耗尽球员”。

我没看到科隆的最爱。气氛和支持都将有利于主队,也有利于球队的质量,因为他们为这场比赛做了更好的准备:全员阵容和球员都得到了休息。科隆缺少了几名关键球员,周末也没有进行任何轮换,所以我不认为他们会有轻松的比赛。


卡拉巴赫VS奥林匹亚克斯

我们再次使用与前一周相同的选择,卡拉巴赫轻松获胜(0:4)。

他们上周的比赛质量差距很明显。卡拉巴赫攻入4球(加上比赛第一分钟因越位而被判无效的进球),主宰了比赛,尽管在客场比赛,但没有任何真正的危险。现在赛程颠倒了,卡拉巴赫将在主场比赛,奥林匹亚科斯需要撑过前往巴库的旅程,包括中途停留在内至少需要6个小时,因为没有从雅典直飞的航班。

卡拉巴赫显然比奥林匹亚科斯状态更好,他们需要一场胜利才能从小组出线。与此同时,奥林匹亚科斯也将面临胜利的压力,因为在其他情况下,他们将失去他们仅有的几次出线机会。

奥林匹亚科斯有太多的问题,因为他们将再次失去关键球员巴坎布和詹姆斯·罗德里格斯(他们不在欧联杯的名单中)。他们也会想念阿拉比、雷索斯和瓦茨利克。

另外,弗尔萨里科本打算在周末对阵菲的比赛中出场,但在开赛前几个小时因病离场。

除此之外,他们还可能会错过另一位中后卫——西塞(中后卫),他在与卡拉巴赫的比赛中受到了纪律处分,当时他与奥林匹亚科斯的一些球迷发生了口角,这些球迷对他在比赛中的表现表示愤怒(他是奥林匹亚科斯最糟糕的球员之一,从他的错误开始,他的0-2开局)。

这样奥林匹亚科斯就只剩下帕帕斯塔托普洛斯和年轻的恩托伊(他在周末的比赛中首发出场,并在首场比赛中犯了一个错误)。

在之前的比赛中,我不确定国际比赛日会对两支球队产生什么影响。现在看起来很明显,卡拉巴赫是一支更好的球队,在这里更受欢迎。

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