Suwon Bluewings VS Daegu

Suwon Bluewings welcome Daegu for this South Korean K League 1 relegation group round 36 clash at Suwon World Cup Stadium in Suwon Wednesday evening Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level by global standards overall however, this match between two pretty lowly teams will probably not be very entertaining to watch.. Betting-wise, however, this is lucrative match! The odds on Daegu with the biggest and sharpest bookies - with the largest betting limits - have been coming down during the past two days. This is, of course, totally understandable as the visitors are definitely the better team! Even so, the betting market still see the hosts as the favorites here and we must take advantage of this pricing error. With today’s expected lineups I rate Daegu as the more probable winner. The currently occupy the 9th place in the standings with 41 points to their account. Their goal difference is 45:53. The hosts have grabbed three points less and have score difference of 37:46 and are in 10th place. This position would send to relegation battle with a K League 2 team. I believe this will happen unless the hosts managed to improve their football significantly..

In my view the difference in current level between the teams is undoubtedly bigger than the standings would suggest. The home advantage is there but Suwon do not have the best home fans and the atmosphere is not going to be that great at Suwon World Cup today. Indeed, the fans have understandably been frustrated with their team lately. They have not won any of their latest five home games losing three of these five.. They do fight hard but are just a very limited team for this level. Defensively they are at the same level as Daegu but their offensive capability is much worse than that of the visitors. Furthermore, they have grabbed some four more points than they would have deserved in terms of expected points. Daegu, on the other hand would have deserved a few more points than the 41. Suwon have taken a draw and a win in their most recent two games but have been very lucky! Seoul were the much better team last Sunday but Suwon managed to keep the match scoreless at home. On the 3rd of this month a weak team Seaongnam recorded 58% against them at home and also created much more goal attempts, shots on goal attacks and dangerous attacks but Suwon still managed to rob all three points. It seems these good results have affected the odds here. Daegu have won three of their latest five matches and played one draw in this league and have looked much more better as a team on the pitch than to hosts.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间23日晚，在水原世界杯体育场，水原蓝翼队迎来了韩国K联赛保级组第36轮的大邱队。以全球标准来看，这个联赛水平一般，然而，两支相当低水平的球队之间的比赛可能不会很好看。然而，这是一场利润丰厚的比赛!在过去的两天里，大邱的赔率一直在下降，因为有最大和最尖锐的博彩公司(最大的投注限额)。当然，这是完全可以理解的，因为客队绝对是更好的球队!即便如此，博彩市场仍然认为东道主是最受欢迎的，我们必须利用这个定价错误。从今天的阵容来看，我认为大邱更有可能获胜。目前他们以41分排名第九。他们的净胜球是45:53。东道主少拿了3分，比分为37:46，排名第10。这个位置将发送到降级战与K联赛2的球队。我相信这将会发生，除非东道主能够显著提高他们的足球水平。

在我看来，两队目前水平的差距无疑比排名所显示的要大。主场优势是有的，但水原没有最好的主场球迷，今天的水原世界杯氛围也不会那么好。事实上，球迷最近对他们的球队感到失望是可以理解的。他们最近五场主场比赛一场都没赢，其中三场都输了。他们确实很努力，但在这个水平上，他们是一支非常有限的球队。他们的防守水平与大邱相当，但进攻能力却远不如客队。此外，就预期积分而言，他们还多获得了4分。另一方面，大邱队应该比41分多得一点。水原在最近的两场比赛中取得了一平一胜的成绩，但他们非常幸运!首尔队在上周日的表现要好得多，但水原队成功地在主场保持了一球未得。本月3日，实力较弱的西南队在主场与韩国队的比赛中取得了58%的成绩，而且创造了更多的进球机会、射门和危险进攻，但水原队仍然成功地包揽了三分。看来这些好的结果影响了几率。大邱在最近的5场比赛中取得了3胜1平的成绩，他们在球场上的表现比在主场的表现要好得多。