In my opinion Tottenham have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.
Both teams played each other one week ago, match in Frankfurt finished with draw 0:0 - Spurs looked little bit better as they produced more big chances (expected goals scored 1.48 vs 0.98). Today difference should be visible even more.
Tottenham coming for this game in good mood after valuable win on away against Brighton at the weekend. Team captain and best scorer Harry Kane (8 goals, scored against Brighton) still failed to score in Champions League, but he have big motivation to play today front of home crowd, he said: "I want to score in every game and I've been disappointed not to score yet. It's a really important game and we're at a big stage in the group with two home games coming up. We have spoken about how important it is to win." I believe he is able to make huge troubles for Frankfurt defensive formation.
Frankfurt at the weekend lost 0:3 on away against poor Bochum and central defenders N'Dicka and Tuta looked awful in that game. For sure their confidence is low and this is big opportunity for Harry Kane. In addition to that key left defender Pellegrini (one of the best player according to the ratings) is unavailable. It's huge blow. Frankfurt also failed to score in last two matches in a row. They are not so creative in current season - 16 goals scored in Bundesliga, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 11.6.
Tottenham scored 13 goals in 4 home Premier League matches. They have big firepower and should be able to score more than one goal today. Tottenham won 9 of last 11 home matches in Champions League group stage and they have all required tools to make another win.
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在我看来,热刺在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。
两队一周前在法兰克福的比赛以0:0战平——热刺看起来稍微好一点,因为他们创造了更多的机会(预期进球1.48比0.98)。今天,差异应该更加明显。
热刺在周末客场战胜布莱顿后心情愉快。球队队长、最佳射手哈里·凯恩(8球,在对阵布莱顿的比赛中进球)仍然没有在欧冠赛场上进球,但他有很大的动力在今天的主场观众面前踢球,他说:“我想在每一场比赛中进球,但我很失望没有进球。这是一场非常重要的比赛,我们在小组中处于重要的阶段,还有两场主场比赛即将到来。我们已经谈到了获胜的重要性。”我相信他能够给法兰克福的防守阵型带来巨大的麻烦。
法兰克福周末客场0:3输给了波鸿,中后卫恩迪卡和图塔在那场比赛中表现很糟糕。当然,他们的信心很低,这对哈里·凯恩来说是一个很大的机会。除此之外,关键的左后卫佩莱格里尼(排名最好的球员之一)也无法上场。这是巨大的打击。法兰克福也连续两场比赛没有进球。他们在本赛季没有那么有创造力——在德甲打进16球,但根据预期进球数模型,他们应该只有11.6球。
热刺在4场英超主场比赛中打进13球。他们火力强大,今天应该能进不止一个球。热刺在欧冠小组赛的11场主场比赛中赢得了9场胜利,他们已经具备了再赢一场的所有条件。