6/6 ON LAST GAMES ! COMBO 4/5 LAST CL !
2022-10-11

Seleb

外籍分析师

欧冠

10/12 03:00

已完赛

欧冠

10/12 03:00

已完赛

AC米兰
1:0
切尔西

欧冠

10/12 03:00

已完赛

巴黎圣曼
1:0
本菲卡
解读理由:

Pick 1 :

Gameday in Paris for the round 4 of the group H between PSG & Benfica.

PSG will be without Messi. Renato Sanches, Nuno Mendes & Kimpembe are also out.

Benfica will be without crack David Neres & Morato.

PSG is ranked 1 with 2 wins & 1 draw for 6 goals scored & 3 goals conceded.

SLB is ranked 2 with 2 wins & 1 draw for 5 goals scored & 2 goals conceded.

Very good spot here on PSG that I see react after the very bad game in Ligue 1 against Reims, even if the red card affected them a lot they didn't show a lot of motivation. On the last game against SLB I really didn't pick PSG because it was clearly not value on the road. SLB played a good game and could resist well.

The missing of Messi is bad for PSG but clearly this season they have a deep roster and they will have enough qualities in front.

SLB on their side without the key player David Neres will be very affected.

Mbappe will be very motivated for this game because he was mad after the last game because he wasn't happy about his role, he even published on IG "PivotGang". Paris said that they will not punish him because of this post.

This game is very important for PSG to secure the qualification and trying to make a gap for the first place.

I expect 2-1 or 2-0.

Pick 2 :

Gameday in Milan for the round 4 of the group E between AC Milan & Chelsea.

AC Milan continue to be in big trouble with the missings as they will be without Mike Maignan, Florenzi, Ibrahimovic, Junior Messias, Simon Kjaer, Davide Calabria & Saelemaekers.

On their side Chelsea is without N'Golo Kante & Hakim Ziyech.

AC Milan is ranked 3 with 1 win, 1 draw & 1 loss for 4 goals scored & 5 goals conceded.

Chelsea is ranked 2 with 1 win, 1 draw & 1 loss for 4 goals scored & 2 goals conceded.

As on the first meeting between both teams we are going on Chelsea for this game. Of course it won't be the same as the game is played in Milan but the missings of Milan is really bad for their defense. They are in a good shape tho after the solid win against Juventus 2-0 but Juve isn't a reference lately as Allegri is really not doing a great job.

Chelsea will need to be careful about Leao who made a very good game on the first meeting and he was one of the only danger for AC Milan.

I expect 1-1 for this game but I wouldn't be surprised to see Chelsea win as they are doing much better since they are under Potter.

Chelsea should be with a 11 like Kepa; Chalobah, T Silva, Koulibaly; James, Loftus-Cheek, Kovacic, Chilwell; Sterling, Aubameyang & Mount.

Pick 3 :

Gameday in Dortmund for the round 4 of the group G between Dortmund & Sevilla.

BVB will be without Sebastien Haller, Marco Reus, Bauza, Unbehaun & Mahmoud Daoud. Maris Wolf & Mats Hummels are back now. First goalkeeper Gregor Kobel should be starter. The missing of Daoud & Reus are bad for BVB.

Sevilla will be without Oliver Torres, Jesus Corona, Karim Rekik & Fernando.

BVB is ranked 2 with 2 wins & 1 loss for 8 goals scored & 3 goals conceded.

Sevilla is ranked 3 with 1 draw & 2 losses for 1 goal scored & 8 goals conceded.

On the first meeting, BVB made a huge win on the road 1-4, I really didn't expect them to make such a result and it was really not a deserved result as Sevilla dominated, they got 59% possession. They got 2,27 xG to 1,80 xG for BVB. As important fact compare to the last game is that Sevilla fired Julen Lopetegui & replaced him by Sampaoli that I really don't like, when he was in Marseille he was really not doing a good job tactically, was speaking and complaining a lot for nothing.

BVB is going with confidence after the very strong draw done against Bayern where they played a very good game, they got 1,58 xG while Bayern got 1,26 xG it's amazing when we see how powerful is Bayern this season.

Sevilla is weak defensively this season, the first game under Sampaoli was positive in the result but they were completely dominated by Bilbao.They got 1,23 xG and Bilbao got 2,13 xG.

Sevilla is in a must win situation if they want to hope to qualify for the next round. BVB with a win will secure the qualification. If Sevilla goes offensively they will give a lot of space to BVB.

BVB should go with a 11 like : Meyer; Wolf, Sule, Schlotterbeck, Guerreiro; Can, Ozcan; Adeyemi, Bellingham, Brandt & Modeste who launched his season with a goal and an assist.

I expect 2-1 or 2-0.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

巴黎圣曼vs本菲卡

巴黎的比赛日,H组第4轮,圣日耳曼对阵本菲卡。

圣日耳曼将没有梅西。雷纳托桑切斯,努诺门德斯和金姆比也退出了比赛。

本菲卡将失去内里斯和莫拉托。

巴黎圣曼2胜1平,进6球失3球,排名第一。

本菲卡2胜1平,进5球失2球,排名第二。

我看到巴黎圣日耳曼在法甲对阵兰斯的糟糕比赛后的反应非常好,即使红牌对他们影响很大,他们也没有表现出很多动力。在上一场对阵圣日耳曼的比赛中,我真的没有选择圣日耳曼,因为它在客场显然没有价值。本菲卡打得不错,抵抗能力很强。

梅西的缺阵对巴黎圣日耳曼来说是件坏事,但很明显,本赛季他们有一个深度阵容,他们将有足够的锋线实力。

本菲卡这边缺少了核心球员David Neres将会受到很大的影响。

姆巴佩在这场比赛中会非常有动力,因为他在上一场比赛后很生气,因为他对自己的角色不满意,他甚至在IG上发表了文章。巴黎方面表示,他们不会因为这个帖子而惩罚他。

本场比赛对巴黎圣日耳曼队确保出线并努力与第一名拉开差距非常重要。

我预计2-1或2-0。


AC米兰vs切尔西

E组第4轮的比赛日在米兰进行,双方是AC米兰和切尔西。

AC米兰继续面临着大麻烦,因为他们将失去迈克·麦尼安,弗洛伦齐,伊布,小梅西亚斯,西蒙·贾尔,达维德·卡拉布里亚和萨勒梅克斯。

在切尔西这边,恩戈洛·坎特和哈基姆·齐耶赫缺阵。

AC米兰1胜1平1负,进4球失5球,排名第三。

切尔西1胜1平1负,进4球失2球,排名第二。

就像两队的第一次交锋一样,本场比赛我们将把矛头指向切尔西。当然这和在米兰的比赛不一样,但是米兰的缺阵对他们的防守非常不利。他们在2-0战胜尤文图斯后状态很好,但是最近阿莱格里并没有做得很好。

切尔西需要小心利奥,他在第一场比赛中表现非常出色,他是AC米兰唯一的威胁之一。

我预计这场比赛会是1-1,但我不会惊讶切尔西赢了,因为他们在波特的带领下做得更好。


多特蒙德vs塞维利亚

多特蒙德G组第4轮比赛的比赛日,在多特蒙德和塞维利亚之间进行。

多特蒙德哈勒, 罗伊斯,鲍萨 , 翁贝豪恩和达胡德缺席。马里斯1沃夫和胡梅尔斯现在回来了。第一门将科贝尔应该是首发。达乌德和罗伊斯的缺席对多特蒙德是不利的。

塞维利亚将失去托雷斯、科罗娜、雷基克和费尔南多。

多特蒙德2胜1负,进8球失3球,排名第二。

塞维利亚1平2负,进1球失8球,排名第三。

在第一次交锋中,多特蒙德在客场1-4取得了一场巨大的胜利,我真的没有想到他们会取得这样的结果,这真的不是一个值得的结果,塞维利亚统治了比赛,他们有59%的控球率。多特蒙德的预期进球是2.27,对手是1.8。与上一场比赛相比,一个重要的事实是塞维利亚炒掉了洛佩特吉,换上了桑保利,这是我非常不喜欢的,当他在马赛的时候,他在战术上做得并不好,他说了很多,抱怨了很多。

在与拜仁的比赛中,他们踢得非常好,他们的预期进球是1.58,而拜仁是1.26,当我们看到拜仁本赛季的强大时,我们感到很惊讶。

塞维利亚本赛季防守薄弱,桑保利执教的第一场比赛取得了积极的结果,但他们完全被毕尔巴鄂控制了。他们是1.23预期进球,毕尔巴鄂是2.13预期进球。

如果塞维利亚想要晋级下一轮,他们就必须赢球。多特蒙德只要赢得一场比赛就能确保出线资格。如果塞维利亚进攻,他们会给多特蒙德很多空间。

我预计2-1或2-0。

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