Very confident Champions League pick! 欧冠 多特蒙德vs塞维利亚
2022-10-11

Ricards

外籍分析师

欧冠

10/12 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

UEFA Champions League is continuing on Tuesday night and Dortmund Borussia is going to host Sevilla. This is an important game for both teams because Borussia can secure a place in the TOP16 with a win while Sevilla can't lose because that would mean elimination from competing to the TOP16. Last week teams met in Sevilla and Borussia won 4:1.

The previous loss to Borussia was a turning point for Sevilla's management as they sacked their head coach. For the second time in his career, Jorge Sampaoli is the manager of Sevilla and last weekend team played 1:1 against Athletic. We are used to that Sevilla competes for the highest places in La Liga but right now they are in the relegation zone. Last week was very successful for Borussia. Not only they won against Sevilla, but they also came back from a 0:2 deficit against Bayern, scoring a second goal in the added time.

xG stats shows that this game between Borussia and Sevilla could also be high scoring but in favour of the home team. Borussia's xG stat for home games is 2 but in the away games Sevilla's xG is 1.39. In the group stage so far Borussia has scored 8 goals and conceded 3 while Sevilla's ratio is very bad - only 1 scored and 8 conceded. A real problem for Sevilla is performance in the second half as the team hasn't won the second half of football in any competition this season - 3 draws and 8 losses.

There are many sidelined Borussia players with injuries but they didn't also play last week. Marius Wolf and Mats Hummels came back in the weekend against Bayern and should be ready on a Tuesday night while finally Gregor Kobel is back and he could push the backup goalkeeper out of the starting roster. Marcao returned to Sevilla's lineup last weekend but Karim Rekik won't be able to help.

Despite the chance of a new manager bounce, Dortmund is a formidable force at home in Europe. The home side also knows that victory will guarantee their qualification to the knockout stage and this should be enough motivation to see them over the line.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

欧洲冠军联赛将在周二晚上继续进行,多特蒙德将主场迎战塞维利亚。这对两支球队来说都是一场重要的比赛,因为博罗斯队只要赢球就可以确保进入TOP16,而塞维利亚队则不能输球,因为输球就意味着被淘汰出TOP16。上周,两支球队在塞维利亚相遇,而波罗西西亚4:1获胜。

上一场输给保加利亚的比赛是塞维利亚管理层的转折点,因为他们解雇了主教练。在他的职业生涯中,乔治·桑保利第二次成为塞维利亚的主教练,上周末球队与竞技进行了1:1的比赛。我们习惯了塞维利亚在西甲争夺最高的位置,但现在他们在降级区。上周对俄罗斯来说是非常成功的。他们不仅赢了塞维利亚,还在0:2落后拜仁的情况下扳回一局,在补时阶段打进第二球。

xG的数据显示,本场比赛在博罗斯西亚和塞维利亚之间的比分也可能很高,但对主队有利。博鲁西亚的主场xG是2,而塞维利亚的客场xG是1.39。到目前为止,在小组赛中,博鲁西亚进了8球丢了3球,而塞维利亚的这一比例非常糟糕——只进1球丢8球。塞维利亚的真正问题是下半场的表现,因为他们在本赛季的任何比赛中都没有赢得过下半场的比赛——3平8负。

有很多受伤的波罗西亚球员都没有参加上周的比赛。沃尔夫和胡梅尔斯在周末对阵拜仁的比赛中复出,他们应该可以在周二晚上的比赛中复出,而科贝尔最终也回归了,他可以把替补门将挤出首发名单。马尔考上周末回到了塞维利亚的阵容中,但是卡里姆·雷基克帮不了他。

尽管有可能换帅,但多特蒙德在欧洲本土是一支强大的力量。主队也知道胜利将确保他们进入淘汰赛阶段,这应该是足够的动力看到他们越过底线。

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