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2022-09-30

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外籍分析师

女篮世界杯

09/30 15:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Only 4 more games are left in the FIBA Women's World Cup. The first semifinal game is going to be between two neighbors - USA and Canada. In the first round of playoffs, the USA had a tough matchup against Serbia in the first half but they crushed the opponents in the second half and won easily by 33 points. It wasn't a very tough task for Canada either as they got a comfortable advantage at the start of the game and beat Puerto Rico by 19 points.

I already told you about USA's greatness and how they are going to win the tournament. For the Americans, it probably will be a little more difficult but big problems Canadiens shouldn't cause. The USA is the best scoring team (104 points) but Canada is in 5th place with 72.5 points. All percentages are in favor of the USA, especially two-pointers as Americans make 57.3% of all two-pointers while Canada hits only 41.1%. Also, a big difference is in three throws (82.5% and 71% which is the second worst in the tournament) and attempted free throws (21 to 15).

The schedule for this tournament is very rough as teams could play 8 games in 10 days. It is important to give the proper amount of time for rest and the USA head coach can easily do that because all 12 players are very good. Cheryl Reeve against Serbia managed playing time very well as only two players stayed on the court for more than 25 minutes. Although Canada was leading all game long and there were no doubts about the outcome of the game, six players spent more than 25 minutes on the floor. Laeticia Amihere played more than 21 minutes but the other five Canadiens didn't play more than 5 minutes.

Of course, the USA has a deep roster but we can't say the same thing about Canada as the head coach has preferred a seven-player rotation all tournament long with 7 players averaging 20 or more minutes. While the Canadiens are thinking that they could beat the USA, there could be some second thoughts about this game because less than 24 hours later they are going to play for 3rd place.

Is it necessary to give all-out although there is a very, very slim chance to win the game? Or is better to try to be competitive in the first minutes and if that isn't happening then just throw a white towel, bring the bench in and prepare for the next game? This is World Cup, of course, but playing with only 7 players all tournament long isn't the wisest thing to do and bronze medals could slip away because of fatigue. Canada is going to play against China or Australia and both teams have deeper rotations.

I'm confident that the USA is going to win this easily. The Canadiens won't be able to run all 40 minutes long and the Americans are too deep, and Canada will just be exhausted at the end of the game. The USA will cover the handicap and play for the gold medals.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

女子世界杯只剩下4场比赛了。第一场半决赛将在两个邻国之间进行——美国和加拿大。在季后赛第一轮中,美国队在上半场与塞尔维亚的比赛中遭遇了一场恶战,但在下半场他们碾压了对手,以33分的优势轻松取胜。这对加拿大来说也不是一项非常艰巨的任务,因为他们在比赛开始时就取得了轻松的优势,并以19分的优势击败了波多黎各。

我已经告诉你美国的伟大和他们将如何赢得比赛。对美国人来说,可能会有点困难,但加拿大人不应该制造大问题。美国队是得分最高的球队(104分),而加拿大队以72.5分排名第五。所有的百分比都支持美国,尤其是两分球,美国的两分球投中了57.3%,而加拿大只有41.1%。此外,三次投球(82.5%和71%,排名第二)和罚球尝试(21比15)的差距也很大。

本届比赛的赛程非常紧凑,因为球队在10天内要打8场比赛。给予适当的休息时间是很重要的,而美国队的主教练很容易做到这一点,因为所有的12名球员都非常优秀。谢丽尔·里夫在对阵塞尔维亚的比赛中获得了很好的出场时间,只有两名球员在场上停留了25分钟以上。尽管加拿大队在整场比赛中一直领先,比赛的结果也毫无疑问,但有6名队员在场上的时间超过了25分钟。Laeticia Amihere踢了超过21分钟,但其他5名加拿大人都没有超过5分钟。

当然,美国有一个深度阵容,但我们不能对加拿大说同样的事情,因为总教练更喜欢7人轮换,在整个比赛期间,7人平均20分钟或更多。虽然加拿大人认为他们可以击败美国队,但他们可能会重新考虑这场比赛,因为不到24小时后他们就要为第三名而战了。

虽然赢得比赛的机会非常非常渺茫,但有必要全力以赴吗?还是最好在比赛的前几分钟保持竞争力,如果这一点没有发生,那就扔一条白毛巾,让替补上场,为下一场比赛做准备?当然,这是世界杯,但整个比赛期间只有7名球员参赛并不是最明智的做法,铜牌可能会因为疲劳而流失。加拿大队将对阵中国队或澳大利亚队,两队轮换都比较深入。

我相信美国队会轻松取胜。加拿大人不可能跑完40分钟,而美国人太深了,加拿大人只会在比赛结束时筋疲力尽。美国队将补上障碍,争夺金牌。

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