In my opinion Roda have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Roda coming for this game with good mental advantage as they won 4:0 here in previous season.

Roda today will play with the strongest possible line up. Almere is without team captain Post and important striker Mattoir. In addition to that key winger Limbombe is very doubtful.

Roda so far have very good season, they didn't lost in 7 of 8 matches. Guests are 4 points behind leader of the table Zwolle. They lost only against NAC Breda, other candidate to get promotion at the end of the season. Roda didn't lost in 18 of last 23 away league matches.

Almere so far failed to win in 5 of 8 matches. They won only against poor teams from bottom half of the table - Top Oss, Den Bosch and De Graafschap. For me is very hard to see them as a favorite against solid team like Roda. Almere won only 7 of last 23 home league matches.

If You look deeper, difference between both teams in terms of quality is very visible at both ends of the pitch. Roda is much better at the back, already 3 clean sheets (only Heracles have more), only 3 teams in whole league conceded less goals than Roda so far. Roda so far looks one class above Almere in offense: Roda 1.9 goals per game, Almere 1.3. Roda have 5.3 shots on target per game, Almere 3.9. Roda created 11 big chances to score, Almere 6.

All in all, I don't agree with odds. Roda should be fav here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，罗达有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

罗达带着良好的心理优势来参加这场比赛，因为他们上个赛季在这里4:0获胜。

罗达今天的阵容将是最强的。阿尔米尔没有队长波斯特和重要前锋马图尔。除此之外，关键边锋林邦贝也很可疑。

到目前为止，罗达的赛季表现非常好，他们8场比赛中有7场没有输。客人们落后第一名兹沃勒4分。他们只输给了NAC布雷达，另一个有望在赛季末升级的球队。罗达在过去23场客场比赛中有18场没有输球。

到目前为止，阿尔米尔在8场比赛中有5场没有赢球。他们只赢了来自下半区的糟糕球队——顶级奥斯，登博斯和德格拉夫沙普。对我来说，很难看到他们是最受欢迎的球队，像罗达这样的强队。阿尔米尔在过去23场主场联赛中只赢了7场。

如果你深入观察，两支球队在球场两端的实力差异是非常明显的。罗达的后防线要好得多，已经3次零封了(只有赫拉克利斯有更多)，到目前为止整个联赛只有3支球队丢球比罗达少。到目前为止，罗达在进攻端看起来比阿尔米尔高一个级别:罗达场均1.9球，阿尔米尔场均1.3球。罗达场均射门5.3次，阿尔米尔3.9次。罗达创造了11次得分机会，阿尔米尔6次。

总之，我不同意概率。罗达应该是这里最受欢迎的。