In my opinion Atletico Mineiro have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

For sure Palmeiras not coming here full of confidence as they failed to win against Atletico in last 8 matches in a row (!). It's already long streak and I see continuation today.

Palmeiras have nice advantage (8 points) above second place and their form slashed down a bit in last weeks. They not making spectacular wins anymore. They failed to win in last 3 away matches in all competitions. In Serie A Palmeiras away results look good, but they shouldn't look that good: Palmeiras conceded only 8 goals in 12 away league matches so far, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 17.43(!). It's huge difference, no doubt about that.

Mineiro is title defender, they have a lot of high quality players in their squad and for sure team is very pumped to make win front of home crowd against current leader of the table. Atletico at home is superb team - they won 22 of last 32 home league matches. This season is poor, but they are still only 5 points behind 4th Flamengo (Copa Libertadores spot). Still a lot to achieve and for sure motivation is on the highest possible level. Mineiro at home don't have problems with creativity: 19 goals in 12 home matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 23.75.

I believe this game can change a lot for hosts, they can gain here momentum for the rest of the season and I really believe Mineiro have all required tools to beat Palmeiras today. Mineiro have huge firepower and they should be able to score at least one goal today against Palmeiras. More than one goal probably will be enough to grab 3 points.

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在我看来，米内罗竞技在今天的比赛中有很好的机会拿到3分。

帕尔梅拉斯肯定不是满怀信心来到这里，因为他们在过去的8场比赛中都没有赢过马竞(!)这已经是很长的一段时间了，我看到今天还在继续。

帕尔梅拉斯在第二名之前有很好的优势(8分)，他们的状态在最近几周有所下降。他们不再取得辉煌的胜利了。他们在最近3场所有赛事的客场比赛中都没有取得胜利。在意甲，帕尔梅拉斯的客场成绩看起来不错，但他们不应该那么好:到目前为止，帕尔梅拉斯在12场联赛客场比赛中只丢了8球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢17.43球(!)这是巨大的差异，毫无疑问。

米内罗是冠军的捍卫者，他们的阵容中有很多高质量的球员，可以肯定的是，球队非常兴奋，要在主场观众面前战胜目前的积分榜榜首。马竞在主场是一支极好的球队，他们在过去的32场联赛中赢得了22场胜利。本赛季表现不佳，但他们仍然只落后第4名弗拉门戈5分(在解放者杯排名)。还有很多事情要做，当然动机是在最高可能的水平上。米内罗在主场的创造力没有问题:12场主场比赛打进19球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该打进23.75球。

我相信这场比赛会给东道主带来很多改变，他们可以在本赛季剩下的比赛中获得动力，我真的相信米内罗拥有所有需要的工具来击败帕尔梅拉斯。米内罗拥有强大的火力，他们应该能够在今天对阵帕尔梅拉斯的比赛中至少打进一球。一个以上的进球可能就足够拿到3分了。