7/8 WON streak continues?
2022-09-27

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧国联

09/28 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Kosovo vs Cyprus

Kosovo host Cyprus lock in this UEFA Nations League League C battle at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri in Pristina early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the sixth – and last – round. Both teams are still at risk of being relegated to League D where very small football countries play.This would be a big disappointment for both teams.. Indeed, the stakes are high! Greece have already won the group as they have 12 points to their account but behind them it is a tight battle.. Kosovo have grabbed six points and have a score difference of 6:7. Northern Ireland occupy the third place with five points and Cyprus have the same five points to their account, but their goal difference is bad – 3:7. It will be very interesting for the three teams as If points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tiebreaker. Cyprus and Northern Ireland have played two draws earlier in the campaign. Nevertheless, Cyprus are undoubtedly the worst team in this group! Their FIFA ranking is 108th, Kosovo occupy the 105th place. FIFA rankings do not, of course, always reflect the countries’ current level flawlessly but still give us a pretty good idea of the pure class. In my opinion, Kosovo are better than the 105th place would reflect – Cyprus, on the other hand, are worse! The small island nation’s nations team sometimes achieve good results at home but on the road, they are horribly bad. Indeed, have not one of their most recent 15(!) matches away from home and have lost 12 of these 15 games! Kosovo are a young nation and have not achieved any big success at international stage but with an enthusiastic home crowd’s support they are close to 70% favorites to win!

In their most recent match Cyprus took a surprising 1-0 home win over Greece as massive underdogs – priced close to 7.00 to win) on the betting market. This probably affects the odds here too much. Greece had nothing to play for really in this match as they had already secured the top position in the group after beating Kosovo twice. Some of their players did indeed looked quite lazy at times on the pitch and clearly did not play at 100% of their capacity – tried to avoid injuries etc. Even so, the Cypriots, who played above their normal level in this game, were very lucky to win as Greece had 64% ball possession, and also recorded much more shots on goal, goal attempts, assists, completed assists, attacks and dangerous attacks. Kosovo, on the other hand, lost a somewhat balanced match in Northern Ireland in the previous round 1-2 as underdogs. They had 51% ball possession and both teams recorded four shots on goal. Let’s also remember that Kosovo already beat Cyprus in the first round 2-0 and were clearly the stronger team creating much more in expected goals and also recorded 18 goal attempts – Cyprus had seven. Moreover, Cyprus, a very limited team offensively, failed to shoot at the visitors’ goal even once. Kosovo had seven shots on target. The visitors cannot match Kosovo in any area of the game!


北京时间周三凌晨,科索沃东道主塞浦路斯锁定在普里什蒂纳的法迪尔沃克里体育场举行的欧国联丙级联赛。这是第六轮也是最后一轮。两支球队仍然有被降级到联赛 D 的风险,那里的足球国家非常小。这对两支球队来说都是一个很大的失望。确实,赌注很高!希腊已经赢得了小组赛,因为他们有 12 分的积分,但在他们身后是一场激烈的战斗。科索沃已经拿到了 6 分,分差为 6:7。北爱尔兰以 5 分位居第三,塞浦路斯也有同样的 5 分,但他们的净胜球很差——3:7。对于三支球队来说,这将是非常有趣的,因为如果在比赛结束时积分相同,那么正面交锋将成为决胜局。塞浦路斯和北爱尔兰在本赛季早些时候打了两场平局。尽管如此,塞浦路斯无疑是这个小组中最差的球队!他们的国际足联排名第108位,科索沃占据第105位。当然,国际足联排名并不总是完美地反映国家/地区的当前水平,但仍然让我们对纯阶级有一个很好的了解。在我看来,科索沃比第 105 位所反映的要好——另一方面,塞浦路斯更糟!这个小岛国的国家队有时会在主场取得好成绩,但在客场,他们的表现非常糟糕。事实上,他们最近的 15 场(!)场客场比赛没有一场,并且在这 15 场比赛中输掉了 12 场!科索沃是一个年轻的国家,在国际舞台上并没有取得什么大的成功,但在热情的主场球迷的支持下,他们接近 70% 的赢球概率!

在他们最近的一场比赛中,塞浦路斯以惊人的 1-0 主场击败希腊,成为博彩市场上的巨大劣势——获胜赔率接​​近 7.00。这可能对这里的赔率影响太大。希腊在这场比赛中没有什么可玩的,因为他们已经获得了冠军的位置。两次击败科索沃后的小组。他们的一些球员确实有时在球场上看起来很懒惰,显然没有发挥出他们100%的能力——试图避免受伤等。即便如此,在这场比赛中发挥高于正常水平的塞浦路斯人还是非常幸运地获胜,因为希腊拥有 64% 的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数、助攻次数、完成助攻次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。另一方面,科索沃在上一轮比赛中以 1-2 输给了北爱尔兰。他们拥有 51% 的控球率,两队都有 4 次射门得分。我们还要记住,科索沃已经在首轮 2-0 击败了塞浦路斯,显然是一支更强大的球队,创造了更多的预期进球,并且记录了 18 次进球尝试——塞浦路斯有 7 次。而且,塞浦路斯是一支进攻非常有限的球队,甚至一次都没有射中客队的球门。科索沃有七次射正。访客无法匹配科索沃在比赛的任何领域!

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