Who will win this group?
2022-09-27

Przem

外籍分析师

欧国联

09/28 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Spain have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Who will win this group? Situation is clear, Portugal have to avoid loss to finish competition on first place, so for them today even draw looks like perfect result.

Spain have solid record against Portugal as they didn't lost against them in 5 consecutive matches.

First group match between both teams finished with draw 1:1, but if You look on both teams line ups from that game, Portugal today have so many absences. Today they are without striker Andre Silva, central midfielder Moutinho, winger Guedes, left defender Guerreiro and central defender Pepe - all of them played in first game against Spain. On the other hand Spain have all the same players available.

After 8 matches in a row without a loss, Spain in last round lost 1:2 at home against Switzerland, but that wasn't deserved at all as they controlled that game (75% ball possession). For sure now they have big motivation to bounce back on good track.

Portugal recorded big win on away against Czech Republic (4:0), but this result looks fantastic on the paper, that wasn't so one sided match (expected goals scored for Czech Republic 1.53, for Portugal 2.85).

I don't see Portugal as so big favorite in this game.


在我看来,西班牙队在今天的比赛中至少获得一分。

谁将赢得这个小组?情况很清楚,葡萄牙必须避免输球才能以第一名的身份完成比赛,所以今天对他们来说,即使是平局,也是完美的结果。

西班牙在对阵葡萄牙的比赛中战绩不错,连续5场比赛都没有输给他们。

两队的首场小组赛以 1:1 战平,但如果从那场比赛的两队阵容来看,葡萄牙今天缺席的人太多了。今天他们缺少前锋安德烈席尔瓦、中场穆蒂尼奥、边锋盖德斯、左后卫格雷罗和中后卫佩佩——他们都在对阵西班牙的首场比赛中出场。另一方面,西班牙拥有所有相同的球员。

连续8场不败后,西班牙上轮主场1:2负于瑞士,但那场比赛他们控制住了比赛(75%的控球率),这根本不值得。现在可以肯定的是,他们有很大的反弹动力重回正轨。

葡萄牙在客场战胜捷克(4:0)取得了巨大的胜利,但这个结果在纸面上看起来很棒,这并不是一场一边倒的比赛(捷克共和国的预期进球数为 1.53,葡萄牙的预期进球数为 2.85)。

我不认为葡萄牙在这场比赛中如此受欢迎。

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