7/8 WON HOT streak continues?
2022-09-27

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧国联

09/28 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

Sweden vs Slovenia

Sweden and Slovenia lock horns in this UEFA Nations League League B battle at Friends Arena in Solna early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the sixth – and last – round and the stakes are high! Sweden have unarguably been a disappointment so far, especially results-wise and now find themselves in a difficult position ahead of this match. Indeed, they are currently in the last place in the group. The have grabbed just three points so far and have a score difference of 6:10. Slovenia, on the other hand, have pocketed five points and have a goal difference of 5:9. The country that finishes 4th will be relegated to League C! The situation is clear here – Sweden need to win to topple Slovenia and save themselves from a massive humiliation. FIFA rankings do not, of course, always reflect the countries’ current level flawlessly but still give us a pretty good idea of the pure class. Sweden currently occupy the 20th place in this ranking – Slovenia are in 65th. That is a significant difference! Furthermore, Sweden qualified for the EURO 2020 played in the summer of 2021 because of Covid19-related postponement and even advanced to the play offs where they played a very tight match with a strong team Ukraine but eventually lost after the 30-minutes extra match. Slovenia did not qualify for this tournament.

I have lowered Sweden’s power rating that illustrates the teams’ pure class from the EURO 2020 but not significantly. The bookies seem to have reacted more and now offer too high odds on Sweden in front of loud fans at Friends Arena. The Swedes do not abandon their team in times of trouble, and I expect a big boost from the fans here! The chance of a draw is smaller than it would be in a normal match as Sweden have to risk it all if the scored is level later into the second half. This will probably lead to them scoring or Slovenia netting the ball on a counter attack – something they are unarguably good at. Slovenia did not deserve the 2-1 win they took a few days ago over Norway a few days ago at home. Norway had 58% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Sweden, on the other hand, would have deserved more points so far in terms of expected points.. In their most recent match, Serbia were better team and beat Sweden 4-1 at home as clear favorites, priced around 1.80 by the bookies to win. We must remember that Serbia are a very strong team especially in front of their super-patriotic fans. The final is a still misleading and probably affects the odds here too much.. Serbia had 55% ball possession and more goal attempts (14-10) and more attacks (102-99) and dangerous attacks (44-41) but a win by one goal’s - or maximum two goals’ difference would have been a justified result.. Let’s also remember that Sweden beat Slovenia 2-0 in Ljubljana early in the first round early last summer. Sweden are very clear favorites to win this clash!


瑞典和斯洛文尼亚在北京时间周三凌晨在索尔纳的朋友竞技场举行的欧国联 B 级联赛中交锋。这是第六轮也是最后一轮,赌注很高!到目前为止,瑞典无疑是令人失望的,尤其是在结果方面,现在发现自己在这场比赛前处于困境。事实上,他们目前在小组中排名最后。到目前为止,他们只拿到了3分,分差为6:10。另一方面,斯洛文尼亚则获得 5 分,净胜球为 5:9。获得第 4 名的国家将降级到 C 级联赛!这里的情况很清楚——瑞典需要赢得胜利才能推翻斯洛文尼亚并从巨大的耻辱中拯救自己。当然,国际足联排名并不总是完美地反映国家/地区的当前水平,但仍然让我们对纯阶级有一个很好的了解。瑞典目前在该排名中排名第 20 位,斯洛文尼亚排在第 65 位。这是一个意义重大的区别!此外,由于与 Covid19 相关的推迟,瑞典在 2021 年夏天获得了参加 2020 年欧洲杯的资格,甚至晋级了附加赛,他们与强大的乌克兰队进行了非常激烈的比赛,但最终在 30 分钟的加时赛后输掉了比赛。斯洛文尼亚没有资格参加本次比赛。

我已经降低了瑞典d1等级,这说明了球队从 2020 年欧洲杯开始的级别,但并不显着。机构似乎反应更大,现在在 Friends Arena 的球迷面前为瑞典提供了过高的指数。瑞典人在遇到麻烦时不会放弃他们的球队,我希望这里的球迷能给予大力支持!平局的机会比正常比赛要小,因为如果在下半场后期比分持平,瑞典将不得不冒险。这可能会导致他们得分或斯洛文尼亚在反击中将球打进——这是他们无可争辩的擅长之处。斯洛文尼亚不值得他们以 2-1 获胜几天前过挪威几天前在家里。挪威拥有 58% 的控球率,并记录了更多的进球尝试、传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。另一方面,到目前为止,瑞典在预期积分方面应该得到更多的积分。在他们最近的比赛中,塞尔维亚是更好的球队,并且在主场以 4-1 击败瑞典成为明显的最爱,博彩公司的赔率约为 1.80 至赢。我们必须记住,塞尔维亚是一支非常强大的球队,尤其是在他们超级爱国的球迷面前。决赛仍然具有误导性,可能对这里的赔率影响太大.. 塞尔维亚拥有 55% 的控球率和更多的进球尝试(14-10)和更多的进攻(102-99)和危险的进攻(44-41),但胜利一个进球或最多两个进球的差距将是一个合理的结果。我们还要记住,瑞典在去年初夏的第一轮比赛中以 2-0 在卢布尔雅那击败了斯洛文尼亚。瑞典队显然是赢得这场比赛的热门!

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