Confident Nations league pick!
2022-09-27

Ricards

外籍分析师

欧国联

09/28 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

The game between Albania and Iceland is without any meaning. Israel is too far away and got the promotion while Russia is going to be relegated. After three games, Albania is in third place with only 1 point while Iceland has 3. Yes, there is a battle for second place but overall it's just a game for pride. In the previous meeting between both teams, there was a draw. Although Albania controlled the ball more, Iceland had more shots on target.

It's been nearly a year since Albania won the last game (versus Andorra) and that includes three friendly games against Spain, Estonia, and Georgia. The problem for the home team is scoring because only two times in the last 18 games Albania has scored more than once in a game, and both times were against San Marino. It's not the best situation for Iceland either - they have won two last friendlies of which one was last week but in a competitive game Iceland crushed Liechtenstein the last October and that's it. Albania and Iceland have conceded five goals but the away team has scored two more. Iceland blew the lead in all three Nations League games - with two more points at least, this game would be with a different meaning.

Albania is without Endri Cekici and Keidi Bare due to injury, leaving the home team a little light in central midfield. There are no major issues in Iceland's roster and the team also had two more days to rest after the game versus Albania.

If we talk about the possible outcoming of the game, I'm predicting that Iceland won't lose this match. They have three straight draws and the team has played better than Albania. xG stats for both teams are very similar (1.47 for Iceland, 1.45 for Albania). We can't say that there's some kind of home-court advantage for Albanians as they have won only one home game in the last five tries (the same game versus Andorra). Albania and Iceland have met 5 times during the last decade and 4 of them ended with Iceland's victory or draw. This won't be the most exciting game but it will end good for us.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

阿尔巴尼亚和冰岛之间的比赛毫无意义。以色列太远了,他们晋级了,而俄罗斯就要降级了。三场比赛过后,阿尔巴尼亚仅得1分,排名第三,冰岛积3分。是的,这是一场争夺第二名的战斗,但总的来说,这只是一场争夺荣誉的比赛。在两队之前的交锋中,双方打成了平局。尽管阿尔巴尼亚控球更多,冰岛射正次数更多。

阿尔巴尼亚上一次赢得比赛(对阵安道尔)已经过去了将近一年,其中包括对阵西班牙、爱沙尼亚和格鲁吉亚的三场友谊赛。主队的问题在于进球,因为在过去18场比赛中,阿尔巴尼亚只有2场比赛进球超过1次,而且两次都是对阵圣马力诺。这对冰岛来说也不是最好的情况——他们最近赢得了两场友谊赛,其中一场是在上周,但在去年10月的一场竞技比赛中,冰岛击败了列支敦士登,仅此而已。阿尔巴尼亚和冰岛已经丢了5个球,但客队还进了2个球。冰岛队在三场国家联赛中都失去了领先优势——如果再多得两分,这场比赛将具有不同的意义。

阿尔巴尼亚因伤缺席了切基奇和巴尔内的比赛,这使得主队的中场显得有些不足。冰岛队的阵容没有大问题,在与阿尔巴尼亚的比赛后,冰岛队还有两天的休息时间。

如果我们谈论比赛的可能结果,我预测冰岛不会输掉这场比赛。他们已经取得了三连平,而且他们的表现比阿尔巴尼亚更好。两支球队的xG数据非常相似(冰岛1.47,阿尔巴尼亚1.45)。我们不能说阿尔巴尼亚人有什么主场优势,因为他们在过去五次尝试中只赢得了一场主场比赛(与安道尔的比赛)。阿尔巴尼亚和冰岛在过去10年里交锋5次,其中4次以冰岛的胜利或平局告终。这不会是最激动人心的比赛,但对我们来说会有好的结局。

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