It is going to be a fantastic ending to the UEFA Nations League A League's third group as Hungary and Italy are going to compete for the spot in the playoffs. When only one game is left, Hungary is in first place and Italy is behind 2 points meaning they need a win in order to qualify for the playoffs. In June's game, Italy won 2:1.

Maybe some people thought that Hungary's performance in June was a mistake but they proved doubters wrong last week as they shocked Germany and won the away game by 1:0. Italians had a must-win game against England and they managed to secure the victory in the second half - 1:0. Although bookmakers think that Italy is the favorite here, I'm covering the Hungarian side and saying that they won't lose the match.

Hungarians have been playing better in this tournament. They have scored 8 goals and conceded only 3 while Italy has 6 scored goals and 7 conceded. On the home floor, Hungary has 1 win and 1 draw but the Italians have 1 draw and 1 loss. Playing on the road isn't the best thing for Italy as they haven't won in the last 4 competitive games (3 draws, 1 loss). In the last 4 home games, Hungary has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Yes, we can say that motivation for Italians is sky high as they won't play in Qatar but Hungarians will also watch the World Cup on TV so this isn't a fair argument.

The only goal for Hungary in the last game was scored by veteran Adam Szalai. He's the captain of the team and represents the nation internationally since 2009. He announced that he's going to retire after the game versus Italy and that will add up motivation for the Hungarians even more. Marco Rossi is a Hungary national team manager since 2018. He already told the media that this is going to be a special game for him as he's Italian.

While Hungary is going to be at the almost best possible roster, Italy is going to miss Marco Verratti, Sandro Tonali, Lorenzo Pellegrini, and Matteo Politano. There is going to be pressure on the Italians' side because one more failure won't be accepted. This is great news for Hungary as they are going to be ready to play from the defense as they have been doing all tournament long. Italy is going to attack a lot but Hungary will manage to succeed on at least one counter-attack and advance to the playoffs.

One more game in the same group is going to be between England and Germany. This Nations League tournament has been a disaster for both teams as neither of them will get to the playoffs. So far Germany has played better as they have 6 points with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss but England doesn't have a single win - 2 draws and 3 losses. In the first meeting, both teams scored a goal so the game ended at 1:1.

For the first time since November 2000, England hasn't scored in three straight competitive games and for the first time since October 1992 team hasn't recorded a single win (2 draws and 3 losses). The only goal for England this tournament? A penalty by Harry Kane. Germany lost to Hungary in the last game and that ended manager Hansi Flick's 13 unbeaten game streak which consisted of 9 wins and 4 draws. It was also the first time under his belt when Germany didn't score a goal. The overall xG stats are very similar - 1.65 for England and 1.70 for Germany.

While John Stones is going to be back for England, Jack Grealish won't play because of suspension. Real Madrid centre-back Antonio Rudiger picked up his second booking of the tournament on Friday and will be absent here. While the only motivation for Germany is possible second place, there could be some major changes in the lineups for both teams.

It is very possible that both teams are going to play open football and that could be very watchable. In my opinion, in a little bit better shape right now is Germany which has been proven by recent results. English fans will demand a victory here but the pressure won't be a good thing for the players. If we look back at the last seven meetings, Germany has won 3 matchups, England has won 2 and 2 more games ended with a draw. I'm confident that Germany won't lose this game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

欧足联国家甲级联赛第三组将会有一个奇妙的结局，匈牙利和意大利将争夺季后赛的席位。在只剩下一场比赛的情况下，匈牙利排名第一，意大利落后2分，这意味着他们需要一场胜利才能进入季后赛。在6月的比赛中，意大利以2:1获胜。

也许有些人认为匈牙利在6月的表现是个错误，但他们在上周证明了怀疑者是错误的，他们震惊了德国，并以1:0的比分赢得了客场比赛。意大利人必须赢下英格兰队，他们设法在下半场1:0取得胜利。尽管博彩公司认为意大利队最有希望夺冠，但我认为匈牙利队不会输掉这场比赛。

匈牙利在本届比赛中表现更好。他们进了8球只丢了3球，而意大利进了6球丢了7球。在主场，匈牙利1胜1平，意大利1平1负。在客场比赛对意大利来说不是最好的事情，因为他们在最近的4场比赛中(3平1负)没有赢过。在过去的4场主场比赛中，匈牙利取得了2胜1平1负的成绩。是的，我们可以说意大利人的积极性很高，因为他们不会参加卡塔尔的比赛，但匈牙利人也会在电视上观看世界杯，所以这不是一个公平的论点。

匈牙利在上一场比赛中唯一的进球是由老将亚当·萨拉莱打进的。他是球队的队长，自2009年以来代表国家参加国际比赛。他宣布他将在与意大利的比赛后退役，这将给匈牙利增添更多的动力。马尔科·罗西自2018年以来一直是匈牙利国家队的主教练。他已经告诉媒体，这对他来说将是一场特殊的比赛，因为他是意大利人。

匈牙利将拥有尽可能最好的阵容，而意大利将会想念马克·维拉蒂、桑德罗·托纳利、洛伦佐·佩莱格里尼和马特奥·波利塔诺。意大利方面将会有压力，因为再失败一次就不能接受了。这对匈牙利来说是个好消息，因为他们准备好了从防守开始比赛，就像他们在整个比赛中一直做的那样。意大利将会进行大量的进攻，但是匈牙利将会成功地进行至少一次反击，从而晋级季后赛。

同组还有一场比赛将在英格兰和德国之间进行。这次国家联赛对两支球队来说都是一场灾难，因为他们都无法进入季后赛。到目前为止，德国踢得更好，他们1胜3平1负积6分，但英格兰没有1胜2平3负。在第一次交锋中，两队都进了一球，所以比赛以1:1结束。

这是自2000年11月以来，英格兰队首次连续三场比赛没有进球，也是自1992年10月以来首次没有取得一场胜利(2平3负)。英格兰本届比赛的唯一进球是什么?哈里·凯恩的点球。德国队在上一场比赛中负于匈牙利，结束了主教练汉斯·弗利克9胜4平的13场不败纪录。这也是他执教德国队第一次一球未进。整体的xG数据非常相似——英格兰1.65，德国1.70。

虽然约翰·斯通斯将会回归英格兰队，杰克·格里利什因为停赛将不会出场。皇家马德里中后卫安东尼奥·鲁迪格在周五收到了他的第二张黄牌，他将缺席这里。虽然德国队的唯一动力可能是第二名，但两队的阵容可能会有一些重大变化。

两支球队都有可能进行公开比赛，这可能非常有观赏性。在我看来，德国现在的情况稍微好一点，这已经被最近的结果证明了。英格兰球迷会要求在这里取得一场胜利，但压力对球员来说不是一件好事。如果我们回顾过去的7次交锋，德国赢了3场，英格兰赢了2场，还有2场以平局告终。我相信德国队不会输掉这场比赛。