Atletico are perhaps still the biggest title candidate in La Liga despite being outplayed last week in the Madrid derby. There is now more rest between matches, and we can expect the fresh Tico side to thrash the league’s weakest side Elche whose results are returning to the mean as the huge luck is running out.

The biggest reason for the poor performance was fatigue, and also Real being Real is another reason. Elche are.. well.. classwise a mediocre Segunda side who would not be among favourites to promote from there this season with this squad.

Atletico lead the table with matches in hand, they are also the best in the xD-data, and at home they are 5-1-0 with a 15-1 goal difference.

Admittely they have won only 2 of the 6 games by this handicap, but those two actually give a good comparison as they are other relegation candidates Granada (6-1), and Cadiz (4-0). The only away team to score at Wanda Metropolitano is Granada, when they were 5-0 down.

Both played in the cup on Wednesday vs lower league clubs, Atletico cruised into an easy victory, Elche strugged with a regional league side Bunol but won 1-2.

The image of Atletico and Diego Simeone is still a defensive one, but with Joao Felix and Luis Suarez the things have changed, especially also because Carrasco on left flank creates chances, and Trippier on right hits excellent crosses. The mifdield is full of choices, Llorente has found an attacking role a new home, and Lemar is playing the season of his life.

Defensively they still are great, and the league’s best keeper Oblak will pick up the few shots there are, this afternoon I would not be surprised to see 0 Elche shots on target.

No change in lineup situation, a few long-term injuries still there.

What can we say about Elche? In the xD-data they are clearly league’s weakest side and I see relegation as a certainty. They were rather brave last time vs Granada when trailing, but being brave at Wanda is a suicidal approach. Yet, with all their best effort they only managed half a goal's worth of xG, at home, when trailing, vs another weakish side. Look at the xG vs Cadiz and Villarreal!

A couple of doubts only at Elche squad, but as I have said before there are about 0 players in the team who are badly missed. The quality just is not there.

A beating of a lifetime is expected here.. full-time score could easily rise up to 4,5-0

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

尽管上周在马德里德比中被击败，但马竞可能仍然是西甲联赛冠军的最大争夺者。现在比赛之间有了更多的休息时间，我们可以期待新的马竞击败联赛中最弱的埃尔切，埃尔切的成绩正在回归平均水平，因为好运已经不多了。

表现不佳的最大原因是疲劳，真实的真实也是另一个原因。埃尔切是. .嗯. .从级别来看，这是一支平庸的第二梯队，本赛季在这支队伍中，他们将不会是晋级的热门。

马竞在积分榜上遥遥领先，他们在xd数据上也是最好的，在主场他们的战绩是5胜1负，得失球是15:1。

承认他们在6场比赛中只赢了2场，但这两场比赛可以作为一个很好的对比，因为他们是其他保级候选人格拉纳达(6-1)和加的斯(4-0)。唯一在万达大都会球场进球的客场球队是格拉纳达，当时他们0 - 5落后。

两支球队都参加了周三对阵低级别联赛俱乐部的杯赛，马竞轻松取胜，埃尔切在与地区联赛球队布诺尔的比赛中艰难挣扎，但最终以2-1获胜。

马竞和西蒙尼的形象仍然是防守，但随着费利克斯和苏亚雷斯的出现，情况已经发生了变化，尤其是卡拉斯科在左路创造机会，特里皮尔在右路漂亮的传中。米菲尔德有很多选择，洛伦特找到了一个新的进攻角色，而勒马尔正在打他一生中最精彩的赛季。

在防守上，他们仍然很强大，联盟最好的门将奥布拉克也会有一些射门机会，今天下午我不会对埃尔切没有命中目标感到惊讶。

阵容没有改变，一些长期的伤病仍然存在。

关于埃尔切，我们能说些什么呢?从xd数据来看，他们显然是联盟中最弱的球队，我认为降级是必然的。他们上次对阵格拉纳达的时候相当勇敢，但是在万达表现勇敢无异于自杀。然而，尽管他们尽了最大的努力，在主场落后于另一支弱旅时，他们只取得了半个球的进球数。看看xG对卡迪斯和比利亚雷亚尔的比赛!

在埃尔切的阵容中有一些疑问，但正如我之前说过的，球队质量是不够的。

预测比分4:0或5:0。