Flamengo at -0.75 is a mistake. It is the title game and at least it must be at -1. I am not surprised to go to -1.25.

São Paulo after leading the Brasileirão is in free fall, they are very bad. Last Monday they had a surprising defeat against the weak Botafogo who had only one victory in the last 23 games and is already playing with young players. To make matters worse, they were left without the titular left defender and the reserve that are suspended. Against Botafogo it was a game they needed to win, the must win was at its maximum. So if Fluminense wins (which is very probably) they need to win this game also to maintain the 4th place and get a place in the group stage of the Libertadores. Only on the other side is Flamengo. The point is that if they didn't need the game, they would play closed defense and explore the counter attack. If they get a draw they will receive good money from Internacional, it is not official but it is something very common in Brazil. But as they need victory they will have to attack and in an open game the quality and confidence of Flamengo make the difference.

Flamengo is in great shape, with the victory against Internacional it was the first round that they are in the first position. It seems unthinkable that they could be champions when they had never been in first position but it shows how they are the best at the moment. In terms of quality they are the best team in Brazil, this is indisputable. They have 71 points and Internacional 69 points. But draw isn't enough, because on equal points Inter have an advantage. So they need to win.

Flamengo is much tactically stronger and is currently in better shape and far superior to São Paulo in tactical terms. São Paulo will have to attack and that will give Flamengo space to play as they like. To make matters worse, Wellington will play, who is a U20 player on the left defense.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

弗拉门戈-0.75。这是一场冠军争夺战，至少比分是-1。我对-1。25并不感到惊讶。

São保罗在领跑Brasileirão之后是自由落体，他们很糟糕。上周一，他们出人意料地输给了弱旅博塔弗戈，后者在过去23场比赛中只取得了一场胜利，而且已经在用年轻球员踢球了。更糟糕的是，他们失去了所谓的左后卫和后备队员。对博塔弗戈的比赛是他们需要赢的比赛，必须赢的比赛已经到了极限。所以如果弗卢米南塞赢了(这很有可能)，他们需要赢下这场比赛，以保持第四名，并在解放者的小组赛中获得一席之地。只有在另一边是弗拉门戈。关键是，如果他们不需要游戏，他们就会采取封闭式防守和探索反击。如果他们获得了平局，他们将从国际足联那里得到丰厚的奖金，虽然这不是官方的，但这在巴西是很常见的。但是当他们需要胜利的时候，他们必须进攻，在一场公开的比赛中，弗拉门戈的素质和信心决定了一切。

弗拉门戈现在状态很好，在战胜国米之后，他们第一轮就取得了第一名的位置。在他们从未获得过第一名的情况下，他们能成为冠军似乎是不可思议的，但这表明他们现在是最棒的。就质量而言，他们是巴西最好的球队，这是无可争议的。他们有71分，国际比赛69分。但平局还不够，因为在同等的积分上国米有优势。所以他们需要赢。

弗拉门戈在战术上更强大，目前的状态更好，在战术上远远优于São保罗。São保罗将不得不进攻，这将给弗拉门戈以他们想要的空间。更糟糕的是，威灵顿将参加比赛，他是一名U20球员，在左路防守。