Nations league action - confident pick! 欧国联信心场次
2022-09-22

Ricards

外籍分析师

解读理由:

An important game in UEFA Nations League D1 group is going to be between Latvia and Moldova on Thursday evening. After 4 games, teams are in the first and second positions. Latvia is in front by five points and they are clear favorites in this group. The winner of this group is headed to league C, and Latvia can't afford to lose this one because the last game for Latvians will be away versus Andorra while Moldova is going to play versus the worst team in this group - Lichtenstein.

Latvia hasn't lost a single game in this group and it is important for them not to lose points. Not only because of qualification to the C league but also because winning the whole D league gives potential opportunity to qualify for the Euro 2024 play-offs. Latvia needs to be the best team in the D league (Estonia or Malta is going to win the second group) and the total number of goals scored is also important if there's an equal point total between both group leaders. As of right now, Latvia has scored 10 goals and conceded only 2. Fun fact – in the last four out of five games, Latvians have scored the first goal until the 30th minute.

Confidence in the Moldovan players is unlikely to be high, mainly as Moldova doesn’t boast a great record on the road in this competition. They have won only two of their nine Nations league away matches, both of which came against teams ranked below them by FIFA, but Latvia is 48 placers higher than they are.

When Latvia and Moldova met last time, Latvia won 4:2. In the first 26 minutes there were already 3 goals (2:1 for Latvians) and two more were scored in the second half. On Thursday, the teams will meet in Latvia and there's no doubt that the Latvians are the favorites in the match. Vladislavs Gutkovskis and Janis Ikaunieks scored all 4 Latvian goals in Moldova and they are going to play Thursday as well. Pavels Steinbors has played great in the Conference League and he's in great shape.

Latvians are going to be much more motivated and playing in front of their fans is going to help. Last week Skonto stadium was full in a Conference league game and there's a chance that is going to happen again. Latvia will win and compete for the first seed in the whole D league.


周四晚上,欧洲国家联赛 D1 小组的一场重要比赛将在拉脱维亚和摩尔多瓦之间进行。 4场比赛后,各队分居第一和第二。拉脱维亚以 5 分的优势领先,他们显然是本组的热门球队。该组的获胜者将前往C联赛,拉脱维亚不能输掉这一场,因为拉脱维亚人的最后一场比赛将是客场对阵安道尔,而摩尔多瓦将对阵该组中最差的球队——列支敦士登。

拉脱维亚在这个小组中没有输过一场比赛,对他们来说不丢分很重要。不仅因为获得 C 联赛资格,还因为赢得整个 D 联赛有可能获得参加 2024 年欧洲杯附加赛的机会。拉脱维亚需要成为 D 联赛中最好的球队(爱沙尼亚或马耳他将赢得第二组),如果两个小组的领先者之间的总分相等,那么总进球数也很重要。截至目前,拉脱维亚已经得分 10进球,只丢了 2 个球。有趣的事实——在过去的四场比赛中,五场比赛,拉脱维亚人在第 30 分钟之前都打进了第一个进球。

对摩尔多瓦球员的信心不太可能很高,主要是因为摩尔多瓦在本次比赛中的客场战绩并不出色。他们在九场国家联赛客场比赛中只赢了两场,这两场比赛都是对阵国际足联排名低于他们的球队,但拉脱维亚比他们高出 48 名。 拉脱维亚和摩尔多瓦上次交手时,拉脱维亚4:2获胜。前 26 分钟已经打进 3 球(拉脱维亚人 2:1),下半场又进了两球。周四,两支球队将在拉脱维亚相遇,毫无疑问,拉脱维亚人是这场比赛的热门人选。 Vladislavs Gutkovskis 和 Janis Ikaunieks 在摩尔多瓦打进了拉脱维亚队的全部 4 个进球,他们也将在周四进行比赛。 Pavels Steinbors 在联盟联赛中表现出色,而且他的状态很好。

拉脱维亚人将更有动力,主场也会有一定的帮助。上周,Skonto 体育场在一场联盟联赛中座无虚席,并且有可能再次发生这种情况。拉脱维亚将获胜并争夺整个 D 联赛的头号种子。

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