Motivation for a big win? 西甲 巴萨vs埃尔切
2022-09-17

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

09/17 22:15

已完赛

解读理由:

I am not sure there is much I can tell you friends, but I want to point out the brilliance of the current Barcelona side - with no absences - and the weakness of Elche who are my favorites to get relegated along with Cadiz.

Midweek Barcelona played away CL match in Munchen, they were clearly the better side, dominated the game and that was even reflected in the live betting markets where Barcelona turned into a favorite to win the game! It did not happen as this is football and the host was Bayern Munchen, but the result is no reflection of any poor form but quite the opposite.

In La Liga Barcelona have looked like champions despite the first-round hickup vs stubborn Rayo Vallecano. Results and xG-stats below:


The best benchmarks as a club compared to Elche are Valladolid and Cadiz who form the favorite relegation trio, and whether this is home or away a 4-0 win is the likeliest outcome at least on the expected goals - department. I have already talked about how surreally good is Lewandowski, but the same can be said of Dembele, or Gavi who was the player who created the most of chances v Bayern.

There will be some rotation, but probably not quite as much as v Cadiz as there is an international match break after this game.

This one is another one of the matches where the favourite is such massively better team that they what happens on the pitch is solely defined and determined by them, but a quick look at Elche's start of the season too.

Elche keeper Badia said in an interview that they are the team who run the most, or almost, but he is now not sure if they use their energy right. In this game they will run after the ball and the opponents!

The results and xG speak for themselves of the state of the Elche team:

Two away games played so far, lost both by 4-0. It was also the half-time result of their latest game v Athletic Club!

Elche have scored 2 goals so far. The good news is that both of them are from open play, or is bad news? They seem to have no set piece threat at all, and how many open play chances they will offered at Camp Nou?

They are losing all the stats whether they are still on level score, but it does even worse they they are in a losing position. There is a similarity to Cadiz which we talked about ahead of their games, they can hold - well, at times - for the first 15 minutes but it will start going downhill since then. They themselves create absolutely nothing at 0-0 in the first 15 minutes of play, just try to keep the clean sheet, and in this approach they never get into the proper match pace!

Well, all of this is no news, we all the difference is massive. The question here is if Barcelona are worth this handicap with these odds.

With the cover of -3 draw I say they are.

Good luck friends, and have a great weekend!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

朋友们,我不确定我能告诉你们什么,但我想指出的是目前巴萨的辉煌——没有缺席——以及埃尔切的弱点,他是我最希望和加的斯一起降级的球员。

周中巴塞罗那在慕尼黑打了一场中甲联赛,他们显然是更好的一方,主宰了比赛,甚至在现场博彩市场上也反映了这一点,巴塞罗那变成了赢得比赛的大热门!这并没有发生,因为这是足球,而东道主是拜仁慕尼黑,但结果并没有反映任何糟糕的状态,而恰恰相反。

在西甲联赛中,尽管第一轮对阵巴列卡诺,巴萨看起来像冠军。结果和xG-stats如下:

与埃尔切相比,最好的标准是巴拉多利德和加的斯,他们组成了降级的三支球队,无论这是主场还是客场,4-0的胜利是最有可能的结果,至少在预期进球方面。我已经说过莱万多夫斯基是多么的不可思议,但登贝莱或者在对阵拜仁的比赛中创造了最多机会的加维也是如此。

将会有一些轮换,但可能不会像对阵加的斯那么多,因为在这场比赛之后有一个国际比赛的休息时间。

本场比赛是另一场最受欢迎的球队是如此强大,以至于他们在球场上所发生的一切完全是由他们决定的,但快速看一下埃尔切在赛季开始时的表现。

埃尔切门将巴迪亚在接受采访时说,他们是跑得最多的球队,或者几乎是跑得最多的球队,但他现在不确定他们是否正确使用了他们的能量。在这场比赛中,他们将追逐球和对手!

结果和xG说明了Elche团队的状态:

迄今为止的两场客场比赛,都以0 - 4输掉。这也是他们最近对竞技俱乐部比赛的半场结果!

埃尔切到目前为止已经进了两个球。好消息是他们都是开放式的,还是坏消息?他们似乎完全没有定位球威胁,在诺坎普他们能提供多少空位比赛机会?

他们失去了所有的数据,无论他们是否仍然处于平局,但更糟糕的是,他们处于一个输的位置。这和我们在赛前谈到的加的斯有相似之处,他们可以在比赛的前15分钟坚持住,但从那以后就开始走下坡路了。他们自己在0-0的前15分钟比赛中完全没有创造任何机会,只是试图保持零失球,在这种方法下,他们从来没有进入适当的比赛节奏!

好吧,所有这些都不是新闻,我们所有人的差异是巨大的。现在的问题是巴萨是否值得这样的赔率。

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