Bodo Glimt VS FC Zurich

Bodo/Glimt and Zurich lock horns in this UEFA Europa League group stage round 2 at Aspmyra Stadion in Bodø early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest of UEFA’s club competitions after Champions League. Neither team are used to playing at this level in Europe and motivation is surely sky-high already in group stage – something that is not always the case with very big clubs in this competition - not to mention in Conference League..The hosts are a Norwegian team. The visitors are reigning Swiss champions. The situation is pretty clear here: The hosts are solid favorites but I simply cannot agree with the bookies estimation - Bodo having around 60% chance of winning. In my view the probability of the visitors traveling home empty-handed is 52%. The difference in pure class here is quite narrow but Bodo/Glimt have been very good at home last season in Conference League and this season in Champions League qualification, but the bookies and bettors have surely noticed this and they have become a “too hot home team” betting-wise now. With the recommended +1.5 goals handicap option on Zurich my fans and I have a 73% chance of profiting again!

Neither team have been in good form results-wise in recent weeks winning just one of their latest matches. The hosts suffered a surprising 2-3 loss in the hands Tromso four days ago away from. They were priced around 1.90 on the betting market to win but were once again very vulnerable in defense. Zurich too have had many defensive problems lately – especially away from home but also have very dangerous strikers and offensive midfielders. Overall, the match against Tromso was relatively balanced though but we must remember that Zurich are an opponent of totally different caliber than Tromso! Bodo/Glimt have allowed whopping 12 goals in their most recent five games. Against Dinamo Zagreb in Champions League qualification the Norwegians conceded two goals in the extra time though. In the opening round of this competition Bodo/Glimt traveled to the Netherlands and challenged a very good team PSV surprisingly well. It was 1-1 draw but in all honesty, PSV would have deserved a win after recording more shots on target, goal attempts, passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks as well as expected goals. I believe this result affects the odds here too much. Before the PSV match the hosts lost 1-4 at home against Molde as very clear favorites according to the bookies. The final score is somewhat misleading though but allowing four goals at home in Elitserien is worrying!

We must keep in mind that the Swiss Super League is of much better quality than the Elitserien offering Zurich matches with faster tempo and more skilled opponents. Let’s also remember that winning the championship last year means that they were better than Young Boys who even beat Manchester United in the Champions League Group phase.. Zurich lost to Servette 2-3 away from home in their most recent match after a balanced clash. Lost week they faced Arsenal, a world-class team who currently top the standings in the English Premier League, and lost 1-2 at home. Arsenal were massive favorites in this match - priced around 1.25 to win. They were the better team but still liked the way the Swiss hosts played. At halftime the score was still1-1. The hosts are without S. Fet (knee injury) and B. Moe. A. Pellegrino and O. Solbakken have also suffered from injuries and their situation is unclear at the time of writing this. As for Zurich I. Sauter is out.

博德闪耀和苏黎世在北京时间周五凌晨在博德的 Aspmyra 体育场举行的欧联杯小组赛第 2 轮比赛中交锋。这是继欧洲冠军联赛之后欧足联俱乐部比赛的第二高。两支球队都不习惯在欧洲打这个级别的比赛，而且在小组赛阶段的积极性肯定已经很高了——在这场比赛中，大型俱乐部并不总是这样——更不用说在会议联赛中了。东道主是一个挪威队。参观者是瑞士卫冕冠军。这里的情况很清楚：东道主是最受欢迎的，但我无法同意机构的预判——博德闪耀有大约 60% 的获胜机会。在我看来，客场空手而归的概率是 52%。这里的实力差距非常小，但博德闪耀上赛季在联盟联赛和本赛季的冠军联赛资格赛中在主场表现非常出色，但机构和投注者肯定已经注意到这和他们现在已经成为一个“太热的选择”。苏黎世 +1.5 进球让分选项，我们有机会再次获利！

最近几周，两支球队的状态都不佳，只赢了一场最近的比赛。四天前，东道主在客场以惊人的2-3输给了特罗姆瑟。他们在投注市场上的赔率约为 1.90 以赢得比赛，但在防守端再次非常脆弱。苏黎世最近也有很多防守问题——尤其是在客场，但也有非常危险的前锋和进攻型中场。总体而言，与特罗姆瑟的比赛虽然相对平衡，但我们必须记住，苏黎世是与特罗姆瑟完全不同的对手！ 博德闪耀在最近的五场比赛中打进了 12 球。在欧洲冠军联赛资格赛中对阵萨格勒布迪纳摩队的比赛中，挪威队在加时赛中丢了两个球。在本轮首轮比赛博德闪耀前往荷兰，挑战了一支非常优秀的球队 PSV 出奇的好。这是 1-1 平局，但老实说，在记录了更多射门、进球尝试、传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻以及预期进球之后，埃因霍温本应赢得一场胜利。我相信这个结果对这里的赔率影响太大了。根据博彩公司的说法，在 PSV 比赛之前，主队在主场以 1-4 输给了莫尔德，这是非常明显的最爱。虽然最终的比分有些误导，但在埃利塞林主场打进四个球令人担忧！

我们必须牢记，瑞士超级联赛的质量要好于挪威超级联赛，苏黎世比赛节奏更快，对手也更熟练。让我们也记住，去年赢得冠军意味着他们比在冠军联赛小组赛阶段击败曼联的年轻男孩要好。苏黎世在最近的一场比赛中客场 2-3 输给了塞尔维特。平衡的冲突。上周，他们面对的是目前在英超联赛中排名第一的世界级球队阿森纳，主场1-2落败。阿森纳在这场比赛中是大热门——获胜的赔率约为 1.25。他们是更好的球队，但仍然喜欢瑞士东道主的比赛方式。半场战罢，比分依然是1-1。主队缺少 S. Fet（膝盖受伤）和 B. Moe。 A. Pellegrino 和 O. Solbakken 也受伤了，在撰写本文时他们的情况尚不清楚。苏黎世的 I. Sauter 缺席。