In their last 11 games at home since qualifying from the group phase into knouckout stage Atalanta have scored at least 3 goals in 9 of those! Naturally none of those teams has been the calibre of Real Madrid, but there is for example AS Roma, Fiorentina, Lazio and Napoli twice in this run.

I did actually preview both of these teams last round matches this weekend if you want to check for more information. The injury situation at both is unchanged, except that Real Madrid's top scorer Karim Benzema is currently a doubt.

What happened last weekend then?

Atalanta won Napoli 4-2, shot 18 times and rested for example Ilicic for the whole game. A comfortable win vs a weakened Napoli side.

Real Madrid won 0-1 away at Valladolid where the Benzema replacement Mariano was too hungry for goals and scored twice from an offside position, but they needed the heroics of their two best players Casemiro and keeper Courtois to come home with all 3 points. Real are in a middle of injury crisis, Nacho is playing as a centre-back, Vazquez as a right back, but most importantly the attack of Vinicius, Mariano and Asensio lack goals and on the bench there are only reserve team players available. That trio has scored 5 goals in total this season, the same as their best scorer Casemiro, and far behind from Benzema who has 12 in the bag. This season there is saving angel in the form of Sergio Ramos due his injury, and even if the midfield of Kroos-Casemiro-Modric is an excellent one there is too much to do for them in Bergamo. This is not Valladolid, but performance-wise the best Italian team for a few years!

What would the odds be if this was Juventus or Inter, bigger names? Atalanta are equally good, but score more and concede more.

This is down to two things. If Atalanta can keep their nerve and play their own game they will be strong in this, and the other one is the possibility of Benzema whose presence would also be mentally a strong one.

Yet, I see Atalanta scoring at least twice, and it should be enough for this weakened Real Madrid side.

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在从小组赛进入淘汰赛阶段后的11场主场比赛中，亚特兰大在其中9场比赛中至少进了3球!当然，这些球队都没有皇家马德里那样的实力，但是有罗马，佛罗伦萨，拉齐奥和那不勒斯。

如果你想了解更多的信息，我这周末确实预览了这两支球队上一轮的比赛。两队的伤病情况都没有改变，除了皇马的头号射手卡里姆·本泽马目前还不确定。

那么上周末发生了什么?

亚特兰大4-2战胜那不勒斯，18次射门，休息了一整场比赛。这是一场轻松的胜利，对手是被削弱的那不勒斯队。

皇马在客场0-1战胜巴拉多利德，本泽马的替补马里亚诺渴望进球，并在越位位置进了两球，但他们需要他们最好的两名球员卡塞米罗和守门员库尔图瓦的英勇表现才能全取三分。皇马正处于伤病危机之中，纳乔担任中后卫，巴斯克斯担任右后卫，但最重要的是维尼休斯、马里亚诺和阿森西奥的进攻缺少进球，板凳上只有替补队员。这三名球员本赛季一共进了5个球，和他们最好的射手卡塞米罗一样，远远落后于本泽马的12个进球。本赛季拉莫斯是救星，即使克罗斯-卡塞米罗-莫德里奇的中场很出色，在贝加莫他们也有很多事情要做。这不是巴拉多利德，而是几年来表现最好的意大利球队!

如果是尤文图斯或国际米兰，更大牌的球队，胜算会是多少?亚特兰大也同样不错，但是得分更多，失球更多。

这可以归结为两件事。如果亚特兰大能保持他们的勇气，打出他们自己的比赛，他们将会在这一场比赛中变得强大，另一个因素是本泽马的存在，他的存在也将是精神上的强大。

然而，我看到亚特兰大至少进了两球，这对于这支实力被削弱的皇马来说应该足够了。

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