Best bet from Champions League today!
2022-09-14

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外籍分析师

欧冠

09/15 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Benfica have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Benfica coming to this game full of confidence as they won last 17 consecutive matches in all competitions since May! It's impressive streak and for sure team is fearless and don't want to stop here. In opening group match Benfica recorded routine 2:0 win at home against Maccabi. They will give absolutely everything to avoid loss here because in next two matches they will play against PSG.

Benfica is very solid at both ends of the pitch. There is stability and consistency at the back - Benfica kept clean sheet in 6 of last 8 matches in all competitions. Even in those matches when they conceded goals in home wins against Rio Ave and Vizela, they looked stable at the back: 0.68 expected goals conceded against Rio Ave and 0.71 expected goals conceded against Vizela. Benfica offensive firepower is simply great - they scored more than one goal in 6 of last 7 matches in all competitions. At the weekend they scored only once against Famalicao on away (1:0), but they had 1.41 expected goals scored and missed some good chances to score more goals.

On the other hand Juventus defensive formation is unstable. It's really visible if You look on the bigger picture: in 2022 Juventus conceded at least one goal in 24 of 34 matches in all competitions (71%). They conceded two goals against Paris in opening group match and they conceded two goals against Salernitana at the weekend. Today they are without their first goalkeeper Szczęsny so it's hard to imagine clean sheet for hosts today.

Juventus currently doesn't look convincing at all. Only one win in last 6 matches, against poor Spezia at home. They are still without key players like Locatelli or Chiesa so it's hard to trust them against in-form Benfica which coming for this game with the strongest possible line up. Excellent value on away side here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,本菲卡有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

本菲卡对这场比赛充满信心,因为他们自5月以来在所有赛事中取得了17连胜!这是令人印象深刻的连胜,当然球队是无所畏惧的,不想在这里止步。小组赛首战,本菲卡在主场2:0战胜马卡比。他们会尽一切努力避免在这里失利,因为在接下来的两场比赛中他们将对阵巴黎圣日耳曼。

本菲卡在球场两端都很稳固。后防线稳定稳定——本菲卡在最近的8场比赛中有6场没有失球。即使在主场战胜里约热内卢Ave和维泽拉丢球的比赛中,他们的后防线看起来也很稳定:对阵里约热内卢Ave的预期失球为0.68,对阵维泽拉的预期失球为0.71。本菲卡的进攻火力非常强大——他们在过去的7场比赛中有6场进球超过1球。周末他们在客场对阵法马里考的比赛中只进了1球(1:0),但是他们的预期进球数是1.41球,并且错过了一些进球的好机会。

另一方面,尤文图斯的防守阵型不稳定。如果你从更大的角度来看,这是显而易见的:2022年,尤文图斯在所有赛事的34场比赛中有24场至少丢了一个球(71%)。小组赛首战对巴黎丢两球,周末对萨勒尼塔纳丢两球。今天他们失去了他们的第一门将什切尔斯尼,所以很难想象今天东道主会零封对手。

尤文图斯目前看起来一点也不令人信服。最近6场比赛只赢了一场,主场对阵可怜的斯佩齐亚。他们仍然缺少像洛卡泰利和基耶萨这样的关键球员,所以很难相信他们能在对阵本菲卡时发挥出色,而本菲卡的阵容可能是最强的。这里的价格非常好。

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