Derry City VS Sligo Rovers

Derry City and Sligo Rovers lock horns in this round 25 clash of Irish Premier Division at Brandywell Stadium early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is a low-level league by European standards and does not offer great entertainment for football lovers. However, our goal is to make money and we have indeed done super-well betting on this league! The situation here in this is straightforward - the host are very clear favorites and have a slightly over 70% chance of winning. The are superior compared to the hosts in all areas of the game. The biggest gap in the hosts favor is in defense – Derry’s defenders are highly skilled for this level and they also defend very well as a team. Indeed, the hosts have allowed just 24 goals and have netted the ball a whopping 47 times. This is the highest number in this league! Derry City currently occupy the second place in the standings with 55 points in the bank - just four points less than Shamrock Rovers who top the standings. In terms of pure class the difference between these top teams is quite narrow. Derry City have been slightly unlucky this season in terms of expected point and expected goal and would have deserved 58 points. Both are statistical tools very commonly used by most professional football bettors to spot under – or over-valued teams – the goal being of course to find lucrative matches to bet on.

The hosts are in amazingly good form and have not lost any of their latest 10 games winning seven of these. In their most recent match, they were not even close to their best but still beat a mediocre team Bohemians 1-0 at home. Before this they did not give the improving UC Dublin much of a chance and cruised to a 3-0 victory in front of their loud fans. The home advantage is substantial here as well. Derry City were massive favorites on the betting market against UC Dublin though, but they lowered the tempo at the later stages of the game saving energy and avoiding injuries and could easily have scored more than three goals. The best match from Derry City in recent weeks took place on the 29th of August when they shutdown Shelbourne winning 1-0 away from home allowing them very little in expected goals and could easily have won by an even bigger margin. They have not conceded a single goal in any of their most recent four games and I would not be surprised at all if Sligo Rovers failed to score here. The visitors are not a bad team but are still weaker than the 5th place and 41 points to their account would suggest. they have been lucky in many games this season. One good example of this is their latest match away from home against Shelbourne - Sligo took a lucky 2-0 win. In reality Shelbourne were the better team and recorded close to 70% ball possession and much more goal attempts. The hosts also had more total passes, com-pleted passes, attacks and dangerous attacks.

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北京时间周三凌晨，德里城和斯莱戈流浪者在爱尔兰超级联赛第25轮的比赛中针锋相对。按照欧洲标准，这是一个低水平的联赛，不能为足球爱好者提供很好的娱乐。然而，我们的目标是赚钱，我们确实在这个联赛中做得非常好!这里的情况很简单——主队很受欢迎，获胜几率略高于70%。在游戏的所有领域，它们都比宿主更优秀。东道主最大的差距是在防守上——德里的后卫在这个水平上有很高的技术，他们作为一个团队防守也很好。事实上，东道主只失了24球，进球多达47次。这是联盟中最高的数字!德里城目前以55分的积分榜排名第二，只比排名第一的三叶草流浪者少4分。就纯级别而言，这些顶级球队之间的差距非常小。德里城本赛季在预期积分和预期进球方面有点不走运，应该得到58分。这两种统计工具都是大多数职业足球投注者非常常用的工具，用来发现估值过低或过高的球队，其目的当然是为了找到有利可图的比赛进行投注。

东道主状态非常好，最近10场比赛一场未输，赢了7场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们甚至没有接近他们的最佳状态，但仍然在主场1-0击败了一支平庸的球队波西米亚。在此之前，他们并没有给正在进步的都柏林大学太多的机会，并在他们喧闹的球迷面前以3-0轻松取胜。主场优势在这里也很明显。德里城队在对阵都柏林大学的比赛中是博彩市场上的大热门，但他们在比赛后期降低了节奏，节省了精力，避免了受伤，很容易就能进3球以上。德里城最近几周最好的一场比赛发生在8月29日，当时他们客场1-0击败谢尔伯恩，使得他们的进球数几乎没有达到预期的水平，他们本可以轻松赢得更大的比分。他们在最近的四场比赛中没有丢过一球，如果斯莱戈流浪者不能在这里进球，我一点也不会感到惊讶。客队不是一支糟糕的球队，但仍然比第5名弱，他们的积分是41分。他们在本赛季的许多比赛中都很幸运。一个很好的例子就是他们最近客场对阵谢尔伯恩的比赛——斯莱戈以2-0的比分幸运获胜。事实上谢尔伯恩是更好的球队，记录了接近70%的控球率和更多的进球次数。东道主的总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数也更多。