Confident Champions league pick!
2022-09-13

Ricards

外籍分析师

欧冠

09/14 03:00

已完赛

马赛
1:0
法兰克福
解读理由:

The second matchday of UEFA Champions league is here! Marseille on Tuesday night is going to host Eintracht. The start of the Champions league for both teams wasn't the best. Marseille controlled the ball more and had more shots versus Tottenham in the first half but the red card at the start of the second half turned everything around. During a five-minute stretch, Tottenham scored 2 goals. Eintracht's debut game was forgettable as they lost 0:3 to Sporting.

In this matchup, I like Marseille better. The team is on the roll right now, as Marseille has won five out last six games and is in the first two places with PSG in Ligue 1. On the other hand, Eintracht is on two-game losing streak and is only in 11th place in Bundesliga.

Awesome start of the season has been for two Marseille players – Alexis Sanchez and Nuno Tavares as Sanchez already has 4 goals while Tavares has scored 3 times. It is important to notice, that Sanchez wasn't playing last week against Tottenham. Daichi Kamada is the best scorer for Eintracht with 5 goals but 2 of them were in a German Cup game against lower tier team. No other player has more than 2 goals.

The main problem for Eintracht has been defense. In the last 7 out of 8 games, Eintracht has conceded at least one goal, in total 17 (six again Bayern) already this season. Different situation it is for Marseille as the team has conceded only 6 goals in 9 game stretch.

Marseille also plays very well in front of their fans as they haven't lost in Orange Velodrome since May 1. Chancel Mbemba won't help for the home team because of the red card and Leonardo Balerdi will take his place. For Eintracht Christopher Lenz won't play because of a hamstring injury.

If we are comparing xG stats from both leagues, Marseille's xG in Ligue 1 is 9.25 while for Eintracht's away games in Bundesliga it is only 3.08. Of course, those are two different leagues but at the same time, it gives information on what teams are capable. The start of the season could be some reality check for Eintracht as last season and winning the Europa league could be just an outlier.

In the end, I'm going to predict Marseille's win. The team is in better shape, they will play in front of their fans, and Marseille should take the victory and continue to fight for advancing to the TOP16.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

欧洲冠军联赛的第二个比赛日到了!马赛将在周二晚上迎战埃因赫特队。欧冠联赛的开始对两支球队来说都不是最好的。马赛在上半场对热刺的比赛中控制了更多的球,有更多的射门机会,但下半场开始时的红牌改变了一切。在5分钟的比赛中,热刺打进2球。Eintracht的首场比赛被遗忘了,他们0:3输给了竞技。

在这场比赛中,我更喜欢马赛。这支球队现在状态不错,因为马赛在最近6场比赛中赢了5场,与巴黎圣日耳曼并列法甲联赛的前两名。另一方面,在德甲联赛中,法兰克福正处于两连败的状态,仅排在第11位。

马赛的两名球员——亚历克西斯·桑切斯和努诺·塔瓦雷斯在赛季开始时表现出色,桑切斯已经进了4球,而塔瓦雷斯进了3球。值得注意的是,桑切斯并没有在上周对阵热刺的比赛中出场。Kamada Daichi是德国国家队的最佳射手,他打进5球,但其中2球是在德国杯对阵低级别球队的比赛中打进的。没有其他球员进球超过2个。

法兰克福面临的主要问题是防守。在过去8场比赛中的7场中,埃茵赫特至少丢了1球,本赛季总共丢了17球(还是拜仁的6球)。马赛的情况不同,球队在9场比赛中只丢了6球。

马赛在球迷面前也踢得很好,因为他们自5月1日以来就没有在奥兰治赛洛德罗姆输过球。姆本巴因为红牌不能为主队提供帮助,莱奥纳多·巴勒迪将顶替他的位置。因为腿筋受伤,克里斯托弗·伦茨将不能参加比赛。

如果我们比较两个联赛的xG数据,法甲马赛的xG是9.25,而德甲的Eintracht的xG只有3.08。当然,这是两个不同的联赛,但同时,它也提供了球队能力的信息。本赛季的开始可能是对埃茵赫特队的一些现实检查,就像上赛季一样,赢得欧联杯可能只是一个例外。

最后,我要预测马赛会赢。球队状态更好了,他们将在球迷面前比赛,马赛应该接受胜利,继续为进入TOP16而奋斗。

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