What will happen at Elland Road today? 英超利兹联VS南安普顿
2021-02-23

Przem

外籍分析师

解读理由:

In my opinion Southampton have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Southampton don't have any new absences, so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. Leeds is still without their captain and key central midfielder Kalvin Phillips - this is huge blow for the team. With him on the pitch they won 9 of 10 matches in current season.

I don't see Leeds as a better team and at the moment they are not in good form. They lost 3 of last 4 matches and they won only against poor Crystal Palace at home. Leeds defensive formation continues to be very easy to break. In current season only WBA conceded more goals than hosts of today's game. Leeds as well don't have idea how to defend set pieces, they conceded the biggest number of goals in whole league from corner/free kicks. There is problem with stability and concentration - they conceded 60% of their goals in first halves.

On the other hand Southampton players are fast starters - they scored 65% of their goals in first parts of the match. Before last round their lost 6 matches in a row, but against Chelsea they stopped that horrible streak (1:1). For sure they get some confidence from that result. I expect even better performance today. Southampton didn't won in last 7 matches in a row, but they never had longer streak in Premier League without a win. I see good chances for them.

Leeds are newcomers in league. Southampton won 9 of last 10 matches against new promoted sides. I don't agree with these odds. I see this match more like 50/50.


我认为,南安普敦确实有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得至少1分。

南安普敦(Southampton)没有新的缺席,因此他们的阵容应该与上一场完全一样。利兹仍然没有队长和关键的中场卡尔文·菲利普斯(Kalvin Phillips)-这对球队是巨大的打击。随着他在球场上,他们赢得了本赛季10场比赛中的9场。

我不认为利兹是更好的球队,目前他们的状态不佳。他们在最近4场比赛中输了3场,他们只在主场对阵可怜的水晶宫时获胜。利兹的防守阵型仍然非常容易突破。在当前赛季,只有西布朗的失球比他们多。利兹同样也不擅长防守定位球,他们因为角球/任意球的丢球排在全联盟第一。利兹联稳定性和注意力集中存在问题-他们在上半场的失球占据了60%。

另一方面,南安普敦的球员是速度很快-他们在比赛上半场的进球数达到了65%。在上一场之前,他们连续输掉了6场比赛,但是在切尔西的比赛中,他们止住连败(1:1)。可以肯定的是,他们获得了一定的信心。我认为他们今天能有更好的表现。南安普敦连续7场比赛都没有赢,但他们从未在英超联赛中有过更长的赢球荒。

利兹是升班马。南安普敦在最近10场对阵升班马的比赛中赢得9场。我认为这场比赛更像是50/50的比赛。预测南安普顿不败。

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