Kalmar VS Häcken

Kalmar welcome visitors from Gothenburg for this Swedish Allsvenkan round 22 clash at Guldfågeln Arena early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the highest level of Swedish football and is of mediocre level by European standards. The level is a lot better than that of the Finnish Veikkausliiga for example. Sweden has a strong football culture overall and their national team has done pretty well at international level in recent decades. As a result of the strong football culture almost all teams have substantial home advantage. Kalmar have been very strong this season losing just twice in front of their loyal fans at Guldfågeln Arena. Their home score difference is convincing - 12:4. Only Djurgården, who currently top the standings, have grabbed more points at home! Häcken are definitely stronger my pure class but the margin is not very big. Offensively the visitors are unarguably better though. Indeed, Häcken have been great offensively this season scoring a whopping 50 goals so far but their aggressive, even risky, very offensively style of play has also led to a big number of goals conceded – 28. They have grabbed 45 points so far and currently occupy the second place in the standings in this pretty balanced league overall. Häcken are, however, not a traditional top-team in Allsvenkan by success in the past, financial resources or players’ total market value. They have exceeded my expectations - and probably those of the bookies, their own fans and most football analysts as well this season. I have raised their power rating that illustrates the teams’ pure class as the season has progressed but still only rate them as the 4th strongest team in this league. They have now become way too hot on the betting market after winning four of their latest five games. Unlike the bookies I do not see a favorite in this match. With the recommended bet on the hosts with the +0.5 goals handicap my fans and I have a 66% chance of winning. Häcken have been lucky in quite a few matches this season and the 45 points and 50 goals are both higher than the realistic number in terms of expected points and goals.

Kalmar currently occupy the 7th place in the league table but have a good chance to topple Gothenburg currently in 6th place. Both teams have 36 points to their account. I would like to see a little more from them offensively and they do have the potential to score more goals but at least they have a very solid defense. Only Djurgården have allowed less goals – 16. We cannot ignore the fact the fact that Kalmar have won four matches in a row without conceding a single goal! They have looked very convincing on the pitch and seem to have high confidence-level. Even so, the bookies still keep underestimating them! Some two weeks ago they even beat perhaps the biggest club in Sweden – especially in terms of players’ total market value according to Transfermarkt.com – Malmö 1-0 away from home. What an awesome achievement! Malmö are the reigning champions and even played in the Champions League group stage last sea-son! Let’s also remember that last season Kalmar grabbed 11 points more than Häcken.. The hosts beat Varberg 1-0 at home in their most recent match. It was not an astonishing performance by any means but still a solid one and they deserved the three points. Häcken, on the other hand, were disappointing last week against a pretty lowly team Degerfors at home as massive favorites - priced around 1.25 to win on the betting market. It was a 2-2 draw and Häcken’s defense looked – once again – vulnerable. Before this they took a narrow 2-1 win over a small team Älmhults in Svenska Cupen (Swedish Cup) and were not convincing at all..

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瑞典拥有强大的足球文化，他们的国家队在近几十年的国际比赛中表现出色。由于强大的足球文化，几乎所有的球队都有很大的主场优势。卡尔马本赛季表现非常强劲，在Guldfågeln球馆的忠实球迷面前只输了两次。他们主场的比分差距是令人信服的12:4。只有目前排名第一的Djurgården在主场获得了更多的积分!Häcken绝对是更强的我的纯类，但差距不是很大。客队在进攻端无可争议地更胜一筹。确实，Häcken本赛季在进攻端表现出色，迄今为止已经打进了50球，但他们的侵略性，甚至是冒险的，非常有进攻性的比赛风格也导致了大量的丢球——28球。到目前为止，他们已经拿到了45分，目前在这个相当平衡的联盟中排名第二。然而，从过去的成功、财务资源或球员的总市场价值来看，Häcken并不是阿尔斯文坎传统的顶级球队。他们的表现超出了我的预期——或许也超出了博彩公司、他们自己的球迷以及本赛季大多数足球分析师的预期。随着赛季的推进，我已经提高了他们的力量等级，以说明球队的纯实力，但仍然只把他们评为联盟第4强。在最近五场比赛中赢了四场之后，他们现在在博彩市场上变得太热门了。不像博彩公司，我在这场比赛中没有看到最受欢迎的人。我和我的球迷有66%的机会赢。Häcken在本赛季的几场比赛中都很幸运，45分和50个进球都比实际的期望积分和进球数高。

卡尔马目前在积分榜上排名第7，但很有可能超越目前排名第6的哥德堡。两队都有36分。我希望看到他们在进攻端有更多的表现，他们确实有潜力取得更多的进球，但至少他们有一个非常稳固的防守。只有Djurgården的失球更少——16个。我们不能忽视一个事实，卡尔马已经连续赢了四场比赛，没有丢一球!他们在球场上看起来很有说服力，似乎有很高的信心。即便如此，赌徒们还是低估了他们!大约两周前，他们甚至在客场1-0击败了可能是瑞典最大的俱乐部——特别是根据Transfermarkt.com - Malmö的球员总市值。多么了不起的成就啊!Malmö是卫冕冠军，上个赛季甚至参加了欧冠小组赛!让我们也记住上赛季卡尔马比Häcken多拿了11分。在最近的一场比赛中，东道主在主场1-0击败了瓦尔伯格。无论如何，这都不是一个惊人的表现，但仍然是一个坚实的，他们应该得到三分。另一方面，Häcken上周在主场面对德格福斯这支实力相对较弱的球队时，表现令人失望——在博彩市场上，价格在1.25左右。这是一场2比2的平局，Häcken的防守看起来——再次——脆弱。