I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on hosts raised up by 0.30 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kickoff.

There was doubts about fitness of couple Valencia players before this game, but according to many sources guests line up should look exactly the same like in previous round when they recorded huge 5:1 win at home against Getafe. For sure confidence in team is on very high level and they wants to go with momentum.

Rayo lost last two matches in a row (against Mallorca and Osasuna) and looked poor in offense - one goal scored (0.91 expected goals scored). Confidence for sure is not on the highest possible level as they failed to win in last 11 consecutive home La Liga matches!

In overall Valenci have really solid record against Rayo as they didn't lost in 20 of last 26 matches against them. I agree with market movement, Valencia have bigger chances to make positive result than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.