Can you take a bit of risk? 你会冒险吗?
2021-02-22

Jarkko

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Despite the distance of venues this still is a derby, named after the motorway M23!

The first time they met in London the score was 1-1, but tas Brighton won the shot count by 20-1 there was not much question of who was the better team!

It was also a good example of Brighton season, they have won the xG several times clearly but failed to win or score. In fact even if they are currently 16th in the table with 26 points the xG-table offers them 39 points! For example in the same metrics Leicester - currently 3rd - have 40 points!

So there is a lot of potential unused.

尽管比赛场地距离遥远,这仍然是一场德比,以M23高速公路命名!

他们第一次在伦敦相遇时比分是1-1,但布莱顿以20-1赢得了射门数,谁是更好的球队并不是很大的问题!

这也是布莱顿赛季的一个很好的例子,他们已经赢得了几次预期数据,但是都没有赢球或者得分。事实上,即使他们目前在表中以26分排在第16位,预期数据却给了他们39分!例如,在同样的指标下,目前排名第三的莱斯特城有40分!

所以有很多潜在的未使用。

The last 6 games in EPL they are unbeaten

and they have won the xG especially at home by 2 goals even if there have good teams against. Man City was too much, but Liverpool, Tottenham and Villa were not.

So scoring is the problem, and it is shown in the goal scorers as best scorer Maupay has 7, no one else has more than two.

The defense however works miracles,and tonight they meet a similar type of a team, but who miss their clearly best players Zaha who has scored a third of their goals - 9 - , and been creating several of the others.

Palace have other worries too as several of starters are missing. Brighton also would like to use March and Lamptey, but in comparison Palace’s problems are huge!

Zaha has missed the last two games, and you can see how they went!

而且他们已经赢下了预期数据,尤其是在主场赢了2球,即使对手是优秀的球队。曼城太过分了,但利物浦、热刺和维拉却没有。

所以得分是一个问题,在得分手名单上可以看出最佳得分手莫佩有7个,没有人超过2个。

然而防守却创造了奇迹,今晚他们遇到了一个类似的球队,但是水晶宫缺少了他们最好的球员扎哈,扎哈为他们进了三分之一的球——9个——,并且创造了其他几个。

由于缺少几位首发球员,水晶宫还有其他的担忧。布莱顿将派上和兰普泰,但相比之下水晶宫的问题是巨大的!

扎哈已经错过了前两场比赛,你可以看到他们的表现!

Nothing really suggests this one to be especially entertaining game, but with the defensive worries of Palace, and the fact that Brighton constantly creates goal expectation worth of two goals I see a higher handicap tonight as the only - but riskier - option!

3-0

没有什么能证明这是一场特别有趣的比赛,但是由于水晶宫的防守问题,以及布莱顿队不断创造进球的预期值(两个进球),我认为布莱顿-1胜值得尝试

3 - 0


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