I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Manchester City -1.5 AH slashed down by 0.30 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. I expect even bigger drops prior to the kickoff.

City don't have any problems with goalscoring as they scored at least 3 goals in last 4 consecutive Premier League matches. I waited for official line ups to see if Haaland will play, he will. He looks like monster so far, 9 goals (!!!) in 5 matches. Aston Villa have slim chances to stop him, hosts of today's match conceded at least one goal in all matches in all competitions in current season so far. Easily I can imagine at least 2/3 goals for Citizens.

On the other hand Aston Villa have huge problems with creativity as they had expected goals scored number below 1.00 in 4 of 5 league matches so far. Team is lack of confidence. In addition to that, no Buendia, no Coutinho, no Ings in first squad today. I not will be surprised if Aston Villa fail to score here.

All in all, I agree with market movement. I see City win with at least two goals margin.