I have to admit that I am surprised by the odds for Cerezo Osaka to win on the road in Sapporo. Although they were defeated in Osaka against Hiroshima by 3-0, the guests are a very high-quality team that can deal with all the teams in the league. As for xG, they are the fourth-best team in Japan by that parameter (ahead of last year's champion Kawasaki), while by the same parameter they are the fifth-best guest in the league. When we take into account that the odds are 2.6 for their victory tomorrow, we get a very big value. Cerezo Osaka is playing much better away from home, having recorded 11 consecutive games without defeat, before this one against Hiroshima. They don't have any special individuals, they play very much as a team and that is the reason why they are at the top of the Japanese J1 league. Considering that they have lost only 6 games since the beginning of the season and that Sapporo recorded the same number of victories in the league, we come to the conclusion that drawing no bet on Cerezo Osaka is a very smart bet. The home team, which has only five wins in the last 20 games, managed two defeats, after a 5-1 away win against Shonan, which was also its best game of the season. There is no doubt that Sapporo will fight for survival, Kobe has improved tremendously like the other teams at the bottom, so the home team will have a tough fight for points. Although the attack scores the goals, the defence is struggling and they allow a lot of chances for the opposing team, they have the third highest xGa (expected goals against) at home and that will be a big problem for Sapporo, considering they await one of the best attacks in the league. All in all, I expect a victory for the guests, who have shown a lot in the previous part of the championship, although you should be careful because the game can end in a draw, therefore a bet falls on a draw no bet on guests.

My prediction;

Outcome: Cerezo Osaka draw no bet

我不得不承认，我对大阪樱花在札幌客场获胜的几率感到惊讶。虽然在大阪客场0-3负于广岛，但是客队是一支可以应付联赛所有球队的非常高素质的球队。至于xG，他们在这个参数上是日本第四好的球队（领先于去年的冠军川崎），而在同样的参数上他们是联盟第五好的客人。当我们考虑到他们明天获胜的几率是 2.6 时，我们得到了一个非常大的价值。 Cerezo Osaka 在客场的表现要好得多，连续 11 场比赛不败，在此之前对阵广岛。他们没有任何特别的人，他们作为一个团队打得非常好，这就是他们在日本J1联赛中名列前茅的原因。考虑到他们自赛季开始以来只输了 6 场比赛，而札幌在联赛中取得了相同的胜利，我们得出的结论是在 Cerezo Osaka 上不下注是非常明智的选择。主队在过去20场比赛中仅取得5场胜利，在客场5-1战胜湘南后遭遇两场失利，这也是其赛季最好的一场比赛。毫无疑问，札幌会为生存而战，科比和垫底的其他球队一样进步很大，所以主队将在积分上进行一场硬仗。虽然进攻得分，但防守很挣扎，他们为对方球队提供了很多机会，他们在主场拥有第三高的xGa（预期目标），这对札幌来说将是一个大问题，因为他们正在等待一个联盟中最好的进攻。总而言之，我希望客人能取得胜利，他们在上一场比赛中表现出色，虽然你应该小心，因为比赛可能会以平局告终，选择客队不败。

预测：大阪樱花不败