09月01日奥兰多 VS 西雅图比赛分析直播
I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.
Both teams without any new absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.
Odds on Orlando raised up by 0.20 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend. I don't see them as so big favorite.
Orlando so far played 5 matches against Seattle and not recorded even one win.
Orlando won last 3 matches in a row, but they had a lot of luck - they scored 5 goals in those matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 2.70..
On the other hand Seattle failed to win in last 4 consecutive matches, but they played much better than their results shows. They conceded 9 goals in those 4 matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede less than 6. They scored 6 goals and according to the model that was fair amount.
I see logic in market movement toward Seattle.