A great match in Japan! 日职 川崎前锋vs鸟栖砂岩
2022-08-31

Tapio

外籍分析师

日职

08/31 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Kawasaki Frontale VS Sagan Tosu


Kawasaki Frontale welcome Sagan Tosu for this Japanese J1 League round 20 clash at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium Wednesday evening Beijing time. This league is of pretty good level be global – and excellent by Asian standards. The situation is very clear here:The hosts are very clear favorites - bigger than the bookies estimate! They have a 67% chance to win.They are stronger than Sagan Tosu in all areas of the game. The biggest difference in their favor is in offense – their strikers and other offensive players are more skilled individually, and they attack in a more organized way. The gap is bigger than the number of goals scored – 40 and 37 respectively would indicate. They currently occupy the 3rd place in the standings with 40 points to their account and the goal difference is 40:28. However, in my power rating that reflect the teams’ pure class they are in the 2nd place and expect them to topple Sanfrecce Hiroshima – currently in the second place in the standings - during the rest of the season and shoud be able to improve especially defensively. They have been unlucky this season in terms of expected goals and points and would have deserved 44 points. Sagan Tosu, on the other hand, are in 8th place with 37 points and a score difference of 37:29 but would have deserved just 33 points and should not be respected this much by the bookies.

The hosts are in much better form than Sagan Tosu at the moment and have won three of their latest five games and have taken two draws. In their most recent match they locked horns with a very good team, Kashima Antlers, who played at a better than their normal level and even had 61% ball possession. Quite surprisingly, Kawasaki Frontale were forced to defend quite a lot but did so in a very classy way and took a 2-1 home win showing great determination and fighting spirit. Their defensive structure was once again excellent! They allowed the visitors just two shots and goal and recorded six themselves. Before this they cruised to a 4-1 away win against a mediocre team Avispa Fukuoka. Earlier this month Cerezo Osaka forced the hosts into a 2-2 draw but the hosts also went on to defeat a very dangerous team Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 on home soil after a solid performance. Let's remember that they are an extremely strong home team in front of loud fans and have won nine of the 12 matches at their stadium in this league! Sagan Tosu, too, are in good form result-wise but have not really convinced me in the pitch. In their most recent they faced Avispa Fukuoka as favorites according the bookies but it was a 1-1 draw after a balanced battle. Before this they took a somewhat undeserved 2-1 away from home in over Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo – a pretty lowly team. They would need to improve a lot or be lucky to take even a point here! 2-0 of I would have to pick a score..


GOOD LUCK!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间3日晚,日本J1联赛第20轮比赛在川崎东大泷球场进行,川崎前锋欢迎佐根德苏。这个联盟的水平相当不错,是全球性的,以亚洲的标准来看也是优秀的。这里的情况非常清楚:主办者显然是最受欢迎的——比博彩公司估计的要多!他们有67%的机会获胜。他们在所有方面都比萨根窦强。他们最大的不同是在进攻方面——他们的前锋和其他进攻球员都更有个人技能,他们进攻的方式也更有组织。这个差距比进球数要大——分别是40个和37个。他们目前以40分排名第三,净胜球是40:28。然而,在我的能力评分中,这反映了这两支球队的纯实力,他们排在第二,并预计他们将在赛季剩余的时间里击败Sanfrecce Hiroshima(目前排名第二),尤其在防守方面应该会有所提高。他们本赛季在预期进球数和得分上都很不走运,本应该得到44分。另一方面,萨根道苏以37分和37:29的比分差距排在第8位,但他本应该只得到33分,不应该被博彩公司如此尊重。

东道主现在的状态比萨根·杜苏要好得多,他们在最近的五场比赛中赢了三场,取得了两场平局。在最近的一场比赛中,他们与一支非常优秀的球队鹿岛鹿角队发生了冲突,鹿岛鹿角队的表现比他们的正常水平要好,甚至有61%的控球率。令人惊讶的是,川崎前锋被迫进行了大量的防守,但他们以一种非常优雅的方式做到了,并在主场2-1获胜,展示了巨大的决心和战斗精神。他们的防御结构再一次出色!他们只让客队射进了两球,自己则射进了六球。在此之前,他们在客场4-1战胜了一支平庸的球队福冈。本月早些时候,大阪塞雷佐以2比2逼平了东道主,但东道主在主场凭借稳定的表现,2比1击败了非常危险的球队横滨F.马里诺斯。让我们记住,他们是一个在球迷面前极其强大的主队,在他们的球场赢得了这个联赛的12场比赛中的9场!萨根窦也有不错的表现,但在球场上并没有让我信服。在最近的一次比赛中,他们面对福冈阿维斯帕,据博彩公司说,他们是最受欢迎的,但在一场平衡的战斗后,他们是1-1平局。在此之前,他们客场2-1击败了北海道札幌——一支实力相当低的球队。他们需要提高很多!2比0我必须选择一个分数。

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