Criciuma VS Gremio

Criciuma host Gremio for this Brazilian Serie B round 27 clash at Estádio Heriberto Hülse Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is a not a bad league by international standards, but the level is still very clearly weaker than that of Serie A. Similarly to many other South American leagues, especially Argentinian Liga Pro and Colombian Primera A this is a very low-scoring league and most matches are not overly entertaining to watch.. Even a goalless match would definitely not be a big surprise here as Gremio often play surprisingly cautious, defensive for their level football away from home – especially against top-12 teams. Only two of their most recent 15 matches have gone over the 2.5 goals total line and five of these games have been 0-0. They should be more aggressive and press the opponent more if they want to climb up the standings. I see the match as more low scoring than the bookies do. The probability of a draw is high - 34%. This result would be enough for my fans and me bringing a winner with the +0.5 goals handicap option on the . The chance of winning is 65%. Indeed, I cannot agree with the bookies here - the visitors being solid favorites. Rather weirdly the odds on Gremio have been going down with the big bookies that offer high betting limits . In my opinion there is no doubt about the fact the visitors are the favorites here - but not clear of course with a 39% chance of going home with all three points.. Offensively the teams are almost equal in my view but Gremio have a more solid defense allowing just 14 goals. They have better defensive structure and their defenders are very skilled individually for this level. The hosts currently occupy the11th place in standings with 34 points but have been clearly unlucky in terms of expected goals allowed as well as expected points grabbing some four points less than they would have deserved. Both of these are statistical tools commonly used by the majority of professional football bettors to identify potentially under – or of course over-valued teams as well in an attempt to find interesting matches to bet on! Gremio have 44 points in the pocket but would have deserved a little less. They currently occupy the third place and this is also their place in my power rating that illustrates the teams’ overall class. However, I would not be shocked to see Vasco topple them before the season ends. The hosts, on the other hand are the 7th best team by pure class in my power rating and have potential for improvement.

The hosts are in better form the Gremio at the moment and have taken a win and two draws in their most recent three matches. Gremio have not won any of their most recent three games. They were very disappointing in their most recent match losing to a mediocre team Ituano 0-1 at home as massive favorites – priced around 1.40 to win on the betting market.. They had over 60% ball possession and were the better team but Ituano created more scoring attempts 15-12. Gremio’s offense was too static and lacked creativity and structure. Passing accuracy near Ituano’s goal was also sub-optimal. Before this they took a point from the best team in this league, Cruzeiro, at home. Furthermore, on the 13th of August they suffered a surprising 0-2 defeat as clear favorites in the hands of a mediocre team CRB away from home despite recoding a massive ball possession %. Criciuma were, on the other hand were excellent against the same CRB away from home despite the goalless draw recording more goal attempts, shots on target, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they took an easy home win over an excellent home over a small team Nacao. Let’s remember that the home advantage is massive here - Criciuma have not lost any of their latest eight home games winning six of these.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周三上午，克里丘马将在Estádio Heriberto Hülse主场迎战巴西乙级联赛第27轮的格雷米奥。以国际标准来看，这是一个不错的联赛，但水平仍然明显低于意甲。类似于许多其他南美联赛，尤其是阿根廷职业联赛和哥伦比亚甲级联赛，这是一个得分非常低的联赛，大多数比赛没有太多的观感。在这里，即使是一场没有进球的比赛也不会让人感到意外，因为格雷米奥经常在客场比赛中表现得出奇的谨慎和防守，尤其是面对12强球队时。在他们最近的15场比赛中，只有两场的总进球数超过了2.5个，其中五场是0比0。如果他们想要爬升排名，他们应该更有侵略性，对对手施加更多压力。我认为这场比赛比博彩公司的得分更低。平局的概率很高- 34%这个结果足以让我的球迷和我带来一个获胜者+0.5球障碍的选项。获胜的几率是65%。事实上，我不能同意这里的赌注——客队是绝对的热门。奇怪的是，格雷米奥的赔率一直在下降，因为大博彩公司提供了很高的投注限额。在我看来，客队毫无疑问是最受欢迎的球队，但不确定是否有39%的机会带着三分回家。在我看来，两队在进攻端几乎不相上下，但格雷米奥的防守更稳固，只允许14个进球。他们有更好的防守结构，他们的防守球员个人技术非常好。东道主目前以34分排在积分榜的第11位，但很明显，在预期失球和预期积分方面，他们的运气不佳，比他们本应该得到的少了4分。这两种统计工具都是大多数职业足球打赌者普遍使用的，以确定潜在的低于或当然过高的球队，以及试图找到有趣的比赛押注!格雷米奥已经拿到了44分，但他本可以少拿一点。他们目前占据了第三名，这也是他们在我的能量评级中所处的位置，这也说明了球队的整体水平。然而，我不会对瓦斯科在赛季结束前推翻他们感到震惊。另一方面，主队在我的功率等级中是纯职业排名第七的队伍，有提升的潜力。

东道主目前在格雷米奥的状态更好，在最近的三场比赛中取得了一胜两平。格雷米奥最近三场比赛都没有赢过。他们在最近的一场比赛中非常失望，在主场0-1输给了一支平庸的球队伊图亚诺，作为大热门——在博彩市场上定价约1.40赢得胜利。他们的控球率超过60%，是一支更好的球队，但伊图亚诺创造了更多的得分机会，15比12。格雷米奥的进攻太过静态，缺乏创造力和结构。在伊图亚诺球门附近的传球精度也不理想。在此之前，他们在主场从这个联盟最好的球队克鲁塞罗那里拿了一分。此外，在8月13日的客场比赛中，尽管他们的控球率非常高，但他们还是意外地以0-2的比分输给了一支平庸的球队CRB。另一方面，克里西乌玛在客场面对同样的对手时表现出色，尽管双方没有进球，记录了更多的射门、射正、进攻和危险的进攻。在此之前，他们在主场轻松战胜了一支出色的小球队纳卡奥。让我们记住，主场优势是巨大的——Criciuma最近的8场主场比赛没有输掉任何一场，他们赢了其中的6场。