Really good value in Premier League
2022-08-30

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

08/31 02:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Fulham have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Fulham coming to this game with good mental advantage as they didn't lost against Brighton in last 5 matches in a row in all competitions.

Fulham coming to this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round. Brighton have one new absence - defender Veltman is unavailable, he played in all matches so far so this is big blow for defensive formation.

Obviously, Brighton started new season in very good style, but their results looks better than really should. So far they conceded only one goal in 4 matches, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 3.62. It's big difference, today will be hard to keep clean sheet without Veltman and when You have to face currently one of the most dangerous striker in Premier League - Aleksandar Mitrovic.

Fulham striker had already 19 attempts and scored 4 goals in 4 matches, he is in excellent form. He likes to play against Brighton - he scored 3 goals in 2 matches against them in Premier League. Fulham so far lost only one match - on away against Arsenal, but no shame at all because Arsenal won all matches so far. Fulham at Craven Cottage already twice showed great performances. They stopped Liverpool (2:2) and won derby game against Brentford (3:2). For sure they coming back home full of confidence. It's match #250 for Fulham at Craven Cottage - so far and they didn't lost in 158 of 249 Premier League matches at home.

Brighton failed to win in 8 of last 10 midweek Premier League matches and I don't see them as so big favorite in today's game. Odds on Fulham are simply too high and for sure value is on home side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,富勒姆真的有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少取得一分。

富勒姆带着良好的心理优势来到本场比赛,他们在各项赛事的最近5场比赛中都没有输给布莱顿。

富勒姆在这场比赛中没有新的缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮一模一样。布莱顿有一个新的缺阵——后卫维尔特曼缺席,他参加了目前为止所有的比赛,所以这对防守阵型是一个很大的打击。

显然,布莱顿新赛季的开局非常不错,但他们的成绩看起来比实际情况要好。到目前为止,他们在4场比赛中只丢了1球,但根据预期丢球模型,他们应该丢3.62球。这是一个很大的不同,今天没有维尔特曼很难保持零封,当你不得不面对目前英超最危险的前锋之一——亚历山大·米特罗维奇。

富勒姆前锋已经19次尝试,4场比赛打进4球,他的状态非常好。他喜欢对阵布莱顿,他在英超对阵布莱顿的2场比赛中打进3球。到目前为止,富勒姆只输了一场比赛——客场对阵阿森纳,但这并不可耻,因为到目前为止,阿森纳赢了所有的比赛。富勒姆在克拉文别墅已经有两次出色的表现。他们2:2阻止了利物浦,3:2赢得了与布伦特福德的德比。他们肯定会满怀信心地回家。这是富勒姆在克拉文别墅的第250场比赛——到目前为止,他们在主场的249场英超比赛中158场没有输。

布莱顿在过去的10场周中英超比赛中有8场没赢,我不认为他们在今天的比赛中有那么大的优势。富勒姆的指数实在太高了,而价值肯定在主场。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。