I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on hosts slashed down by 0.40 since opening lines on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Varbergs have big mental advantage as they won in last match between both teams in April on away 1:0.

Before today's game both teams have the same amount of points after 19 rounds, but if You look on the expected goals scored model - Varbergs have bigger figure: 24.8. Norrkoping have one expected goals scored less (23.8).

Varbergs today with pretty strong line up, we will see on the pitch their key players like central midfielder Le Roux (best player according to the ratings) and top scorer Simovic. Varbergs didn't lost in 3 of last 4 matches, confidence should be on high level.

On the other hand Norrkoping today will play without their two key central midfielders: Abdulrazak left the club, Sigurdsson is unavailable today. Norrkoping recorded only one win in last 11 matches, so how You can price them so low?

Odds are completely wrong and I fully agree with market movement.

我一直等到最后一刻才发文，因为我想看看今天比赛的指数赔率走势和最可能的阵容。

自从在亚洲大市场上以最高限额开售以来，东道主的赔率下降了 0.40，我完全同意这一趋势。瓦尔贝里有很大的心理优势，因为他们在 4 月两队的最后一场比赛中以客场 1:0 获胜。

在今天的比赛之前，两支球队在 19 轮比赛后的得分相同，但如果你看一下预期进球模型 - 瓦尔伯格斯的数字更大：24.8。诺尔雪平有一个预期进球少（23.8）。

瓦尔贝里今天的阵容相当强大，我们将在球场上看到他们的关键球员，如中场 Le Roux（根据收视率排名最佳球员）和最佳射手 Simovic。

瓦尔贝里在过去的4场比赛中有3场没有输球，信心应该很高。 另一方面，今天的诺尔雪平将没有他们的两名关键中场球员：阿卜杜拉扎克离开了俱乐部，Sigurdsson 今天缺席。北雪平在过去的 11 场比赛中只取得了一场胜利，那么怎么能低估他们呢？

指数是完全错误的，我同意市场走势。