Horsens vs Aarhus

Horsens host Arhus for this Danish Superliga round 7 clash at CASA Arena Horsens. This league is of pretty good quality by European standards and the best league in this league FC Copenhagen, once again, just made it the Champions League group phase. Neither Horsens nor Horsens are among the best teams in this league though and a balanced match is expected today. Aarhus are slightly better by pure class here, but not by a wide margin. In defense I would say the difference is very slim but offensively Aarhus are better by a little bigger margin. I cannot agree with the betting market - the visitors being the favorites here. Horsens are a strong home team and have great fans! They should, in my opinion be slim favorites here and with the +0.5 goals handicap on Horsens – as a draw would be enough to bring me fans and me yet another winner betting on this league – the chance of winning is 66%. Horsens were promoted to the highest tier after winning the 1st Division last season with 64 points and goal difference of 55:29 and ended the campaign very strongly. The definitely belong to Superliga but the bookies do not seem to value them that much.

Horsens currently occupy the 7th place in the standings with 8 points to their account and have a goal difference of 5:5. In terms of expected points and goals they would have deserved more. Both are common statistical tools for professional football bettors to identify under – or over-valued teams and at the end of the end of the day of course to find lucrative matches to bet on! Defensively they have looked good in almost all matches this season. Offensively they still have some work to do. The tempo is quite a lot higher in this league compared to Division 1 and the opponents’ defenders are faster and more skilled and the teams also defend in a more structured way. I believe they will improve in this area as the season progresses. They have, however, definitely shown offensive potential.. Indeed, they have taken a win and a draw at home so far in this league and the 3-3 draw was achieved against dangerous team Midtjylland who even played in the Champions League a few years ago. Horsens would have deserved a win in this match despite being very clear underdogs on the betting market – Midtjylland were priced around 1.75 to win. Even so, Horsens had 60% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (23-9), shots on target, passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks - 73-20! Midjylland were very efficient making the most of their chances. Horsens were good also in their most recent match despite losing 0-1 to Odense away from home. It was a balanced match, and a draw would have been a justified result. Aarhus have started the season well – especially results-wise but have become too hot on the betting market now after taking a massively lucky 2-0 away win against Midtjylland despite the hosts controlling the match and creating 20 scoring chances – Aarhus had just six. They had a disappointing last season and ended up playing in the relegation group. I do not expect anything big from this season either.

霍森斯主场迎战阿尔胡斯，参加在 CASA 霍森斯竞技场举行的丹麦超级联赛第 7 轮比赛。以欧洲标准来看，这个联赛的质量相当不错，并且是这个联赛中最好的联赛哥本哈根，再次进入了欧冠小组赛阶段。尽管如此，霍森斯和霍森斯都不是这个联盟中最好的球队之一，预计今天将进行一场平衡的比赛。奥胡斯在这里的纯等级略好一些，但差距不大。在防守端，我会说差异非常小，但在进攻端，奥胡斯的优势要大一些。我不能同意博彩市场 - 游客是这里的最爱。霍森斯是一支强大的主队，拥有伟大的球迷！在我看来，他们应该是这里的小热门，而且霍森斯的进球让分率为 +0.5——因为平局足以让我的球迷和我在这个联赛中再次下注——获胜的机会是 66%。霍森斯在上赛季以 64 分赢得 1st Division 后晋升至最高级别55:29的积分和净胜球非常强势地结束了此役。绝对属于超级联赛，但机构似乎并不那么重视它们。

霍森斯目前在积分榜上排名第 7 位，积 8 分，净胜球为 5:5。就预期得分和目标而言，他们应该得到更多。两者都是专业足球投注者常用的统计工具，可用于识别价值低估或高估的球队，并且在一天结束时当然可以找到有利可图的比赛进行投注！在本赛季几乎所有的比赛中，他们的防守看起来都不错。在进攻端，他们还有一些工作要做。与Division 1相比，这个联盟的节奏要快得多，对手的防守者更快、更熟练，球队的防守也更有条理。我相信随着赛季的进行，他们会在这方面有所改善。然而，他们确实表现出了进攻潜力。事实上，他们已经取得了胜利，并且到目前为止，该联赛在主场打成平局，并以 3-3 战平了危险的球队中日德兰，他们甚至在几年前参加了欧洲冠军联赛。尽管在博彩市场上很明显处于劣势，但霍森斯本应在这场比赛中获胜——中日德兰的获胜赔率约为 1.75。即便如此，霍森斯拥有 60% 的控球率，并记录了更多的进球尝试（23-9）、射门、传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻 - 73-20！中日德兰 非常有效地利用了他们的机会。尽管在客场以 0-1 输给欧登塞，但霍森斯在最近的比赛中也表现出色。这是一场平衡的比赛，平局本来是合理的结果。奥胡斯本赛季开局不错——尤其是在结果方面，但在客场 2-0 大胜中日德兰之后，尽管东道主控制了比赛并创造了 20 次得分机会，但现在在博彩市场上变得太热了——奥胡斯只有 6 次。他们有一个上赛季令人失望，最终进入保级组。我也不期望这个赛季有什么大不了的。