Örgryte VS Norrby IF

Örgryte welcome Norrby for this Swedish Superettan round 20 clash. This is the second tier of Swedish football and not of very high level by European standards. However, this league often offers lucrative matches to bet on! Örgryte were abysmal at the start of the season and just kept on under-performing and things started to look really bad for them. By potential and by financial standards they are not a small team for this league and would have been a surprise to see them at the bottom of the table at the end of the season.. I have, completely deservedly, written negative things about them earlier this summer and they are still not plying at the level they could – or perhaps should be performing at but have now looked much better than before lately – especially against Dalkurd on the 13th of August. They took a 2-1 away win as clear underdogs according to the betting market. Their offensive football looked better structured and more creative than in most matches this season and also they did not seem to have major defensive issues. Dalkurd took an early lead in the 15th minute through S. Zurmati’s goal but Örgryte showed great fighting spirit in the second half scoring twice. According to my sources their team spirit is also now better than early season. Overall, it was a balanced match – Örgryte had 55% ball possession and recorded more dangerous attacks. Dalkurd, on the other hand, recorded more scoring attempts, shots on target and attacks. Before this they faced a mediocre team Örebro away from home and took a 1-0 win. They were a bit lucky though in terms of expected goals but defended well.

The big, mostly sharp bookies see this match more or less as a coin toss (50-50%) but I would side with the hosts. In my view, with the expected lineups today, they have a 41% chance of winning and the chance of my fans and I winning with the +0.5 goals handicap bet is 71% as a draw would be enough. The hosts’ fans are now increasingly more satisfied with their team and the home advantage should not be under-estimated here. Let’s also not forget that Örgryte have not lost any of their latest six matches! The main rationale behind this bet is to go against Norrby. They are a very bad team on the road and have won just twice in this league away from home and have a 10:18 away goal difference. The seven away points is the third weakest number in this league with a total of 16 teams. The visitors have not won any of their latest six games and were weak in their most recent match against a mediocre team Utsikten away from home and seem to be low in confidence at the moment. They do have potential for better performances but would probably have to be lucky to beat the hosts here. They would not have deserved even the 1-1 draw against Utsikten who recorded 55% ball possession, as well as more shots on target, attacks, dangerous attacks and especially goal attempts - 15-7. Before this they faced Brage at home as clear favorites according to the bookies and it was a 2-2 draw. They looked vulnerable in defense and Brage were the better team overall and crated more in expected goals.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

Örgryte欢迎诺比参加瑞典Superettan第20轮比赛。这是瑞典足球的第二梯队，按照欧洲的标准并不是很高的水平。然而，这个联赛经常提供利润丰厚的比赛。Örgryte在赛季开始的时候非常糟糕，并且一直表现不佳，事情开始看起来非常糟糕。从潜力和财政标准来看，他们在这个联赛中并不是一支小球队，如果在赛季结束时看到他们在积分榜上垫底，他们会感到惊讶的。今年夏天早些时候，我确实写过一些关于他们的负面报道，他们仍然没有达到他们可以达到的水平——或者也许应该达到的水平，但最近看起来比以前好多了——尤其是8月13日对阵达尔库德的比赛。根据博彩市场的预测，他们客场2-1获胜。他们的进攻足球看起来比本赛季的大多数比赛更有条理，更有创造力，而且他们似乎没有重大的防守问题。第15分钟，达尔库德凭借苏尔马蒂的进球早早取得领先，但Örgryte在下半场两度破门，展现出了强大的战斗精神。根据我的消息，他们的团队精神也比赛季初更好。总的来说，这是一场平衡的比赛——Örgryte有55%的控球率，记录了更多危险的进攻。另一方面，达尔库德记录了更多的得分尝试、射正和攻击。在此之前，他们在客场面对一支平庸的球队Örebro，并以1-0取胜。他们有点幸运，虽然在预期的进球方面，但防守很好。

大多数精明的大赌徒或多或少将这场比赛视为掷硬币决定(50% -50%)，但我会站在东道主一边。在我看来，从今天预期的阵容来看，他们有41%的机会获胜，而我和我的球迷以+0.5个球的差点打赌获胜的机会是71%，因为平局就足够了。东道主的球迷现在对他们的球队越来越满意，主场优势在这里不应该被低估。我们也不要忘记Örgryte在最近的六场比赛中没有输掉任何一场!这种押注背后的主要理由是与诺比对赌。他们在客场是一支非常糟糕的球队，在这个联赛中客场只赢了两场，并且有10:18的客场净胜球。这7个客场得分在16支球队的联赛中是第三弱的。客队最近六场比赛都没有赢过，在最近的一场客场对阵乌茨克滕的比赛中表现不佳，目前他们似乎信心不足。他们确实有潜力取得更好的表现，但可能要幸运地击败东道主才行。他们甚至不应该1-1战平拥有55%控球率的乌特西科滕，以及更多的射正、进攻、危险的进攻，尤其是射门——15-7。在此之前，他们在主场面对布拉克，根据博彩公司的预测，这是一个2-2的平局。他们的防守看起来很脆弱，而布拉克整体上是一支更好的球队，并创造了更多的预期进球。