Centro Sportivo Alagoano (CSA) VS Vasco da Gama

CSA welcome Vasco for this Brazilian Serie B round 25 clash at Estádio Rei Pelé in Maceió. This is a pretty high-level league by global standards and is – most importantly betting-wise – similarly to many other South American leagues like Argentinian Liga Profesional and Colombian Primera A – a very low- scoring leagues. This match is no different and I see it as even more low-scoring than the betting market does. Quite interestingly, most of the sharpest bookies see the draw as the post probable result. I agree and would say the chance of a draw is as high as 37%! The hosts have scored just 15 goals – a very low number and only the rock-bottom, Vila Nova have scored fewer times! Vasco have a very solid defense and have allowed only 16 goals. The draw would be enough for my fans and me to win with the +0.5 goals handicap bet option on Vasco. The chance of winning is 73%. The bookies see the hosts as slim favorites my I cannot agree with that! Indeed, the visitors are much better in all areas of the game - especially offensive and – more precisely in terms of strikers’ individual skill-level, creativity and offensive structure.

The hosts have been in bad form recently and I have, as a result, lowered their power rating that illustrates the teams’ overall class. They definitely have potential for better performances, but the bookies seem to give much emphasis for this potential.. CSA have won just one of their latest five matches and have suffered a defeat in four of these. Of the most recent 10 matches they have taken all three points just twice. They were horrible in their most recent match against Sport Recife away from home and got humiliated 0-4. Their player Lourenco was sent of in the 35th minute but they were already trailing 0-2 at that point. The hosts recorded 24 scoring attempts – CSA had just eight. The visitors also failed to record any shots on goal and had just 20 dangerous attacks! Before this they beat Brusque, a mediocre team as clear favorites according to the betting market, but I was not too excited by this performance. Furthermore, on the 6th of August they did not have much of a chance to take points from Bahia despite losing just 0-1. Vasco quite easily defeated Tombense 3-1 at home in their recent match and are in much better form. They currently occupy the 4th place in the standings but are in my view the 3rd best in this league. CSA are in the 17th place.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

从全球标准来看，这是一个相当高水平的联赛，最重要的是，这是赌博明智的，类似于许多其他南美联赛，如阿根廷甲级联赛和哥伦比亚甲级联赛——一个非常低的得分联赛。这场比赛没有什么不同，我认为它甚至比博彩市场的得分更低。很有趣的是，大多数精明的赌徒都认为抽签是最可能的结果。我同意并且认为平局的几率高达37%!东道主只进了15个球，这是一个非常低的数字，只有维拉诺瓦进球次数更少!瓦斯科防守非常稳固，只丢了16球。这个平局足以让我和我的球迷用+0.5个球的差点下注瓦斯科赢得比赛。中奖几率为73%。博彩公司认为东道主是微弱的宠儿我不同意!事实上，客队在比赛的各个方面都做得更好，尤其是进攻方面，更准确地说，在前锋的个人技术水平、创造力和进攻结构方面。

东道主最近状态不佳，因此，我降低了他们的功率等级，这说明了球队的整体水平。他们绝对有潜力取得更好的成绩，但博彩公司似乎对这种潜力很重视。CSA在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场，在其中的四场比赛中输了。在最近的10场比赛中，他们只拿了两次三分。他们在最近一场客场对阵累西腓的比赛中表现糟糕，被0-4羞辱。他们的球员洛伦科在第35分钟被换下，但那时他们已经0-2落后。东道主记录了24次得分尝试，而CSA只有8次。客队也没有任何射正的记录，只有20次危险的进攻!在此之前，他们击败了布鲁斯克(Brusque)，这是一支从博彩市场来看很受欢迎的平庸球队，但我对这一表现并不太兴奋。此外，在8月6日，他们没有太多的机会从巴伊亚拿分，尽管他们只输了0-1。在最近的比赛中，瓦斯科在主场3-1轻松击败了汤本斯，现在的状态要好得多。他们目前在积分榜上排名第四，但在我看来，他们在这个联赛中排名第三。CSA排名第17位。