Who will play UCL this season?
2022-08-17

Borja

外籍分析师

欧冠

08/18 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Huge difference here. Of course, neutral field due to the war in Ukraine.

Dinamo Kiev has not played official games in their league yet, which will start in 10 days. They just have played two qualifiers in the Champions League, and in both of them were very lucky:

Against Fenerbache, who I rate definitely weaker than Benfica, were outplayed in both games. The Turkish team missed a lot of chances in both games (also did not get a clear penalty kick and unfortunately there was no VAR). In the second game, Dinamo Kiev managed to beat them thanks to a red card to Fenerbache, a penalty missed, and a late goal in extra time.

Against Sturm Graz (obviously, a very weak team and much worse than Benfica) it was an equal game, and in the second leg managed to beat them again, thanks to a red card and two goals in extra time.

Dynamo are defending deep and looking for the mistake of the opponent, something which could work against weak sides but against strong teams like Benfica, there’s no way they can hold on.

On the other hand, Benfica is probably the strongest team in Portugal right now, with huge experience in Europe and quality in their squad. I can’t really see them not qualifying to play in the Champions League next year.

They already played two league games plus two UCL games against Midtjylland, where they destroyed them, winning 4:1 and 1:3. They are in excellent form with 10 wins in a row across all competitions.

I remember that both teams already played last year in the Champions League group stage (along with Barcelona and Bayern). Of course the situation wasn’t the same, but I remember seeing a very weak side on Dynamo Kiev, and a very strong Benfica side. Benfica managed to beat them 2:0 at home while in Ukraine (with home advantage, as opposite as today) they drew 0:0 but deserved to win.

Benfica is used to playing against teams with Dynamo's defensive playstyle because every team in the Portugal league appart from the top 5 play a very similar defensive style to Dynamo. Difference between both teams is huge and the preparation has been better by the Portuguese side, so I’m expecting an away victory here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

巨大的差异。当然,由于在乌克兰的战争,中立领域。

基辅迪纳摩还没有在联赛中参加正式比赛,联赛将在10天后开始。他们刚刚踢了两场欧冠预选赛,这两场都非常幸运:

对阵费内巴切,我认为他绝对比本菲卡弱,两场比赛都被击败了。土耳其队在两场比赛中错失了很多机会(也没有得到点球,不幸的是没有VAR)。在第二场比赛中,基辅迪纳摩凭借给费内巴切的红牌、罚丢的点球和加时赛最后时刻的进球击败了他们。

对阵斯特姆·格拉茨(很明显,这是一支非常弱的球队,比本菲卡差得多)的比赛是一场平等的比赛,在次回合中,凭借一张红牌和加时赛的两个进球,他们再次击败了对方。

迪纳摩正在后防,寻找对手的失误,这对弱队很有效,但对像本菲卡这样的强队,他们没有办法坚持下去。

另一方面,本菲卡可能是目前葡萄牙最强的球队,他们在欧洲拥有丰富的经验,阵容也很强大。我真的不认为他们没有资格参加明年的欧冠。

他们已经打了两场联赛和两场欧冠比赛,他们以4:1和1:3击败了米德吉兰。他们在各项比赛中取得了10连胜,状态非常好。

我记得这两支球队去年都参加了欧冠小组赛(还有巴萨和拜仁)。当然现在的情况不一样了,但我记得在基辅迪纳摩看到的是一支非常弱的球队,而本菲卡则是一支非常强的球队。本菲卡在主场2:0击败了他们,而在乌克兰(主场优势与今天相反),他们0:0战平,但赢是理所应当的。

本菲卡已经习惯了和迪纳摩这种防守风格的球队比赛,因为葡萄牙联赛中除了前五名之外,其他球队的防守风格都和迪纳摩非常相似。两支球队之间的差距是巨大的,葡萄牙的准备工作做得更好,所以我期待一场客场胜利。

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