A difficult match for the bookies? 布隆德比vs欧登塞
2022-08-14

Tapio

外籍分析师

丹麦超

08/15 00:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Brondby VS Odense


Brondby host Odense for this round 5 of Danish Superliga battle at Brondby Stadion. This is the highest level of Danish football and is of pretty ok quality by European standards and better than for example Swedish Allsvenskan. The very best Danish teams are, in fact, surprisingly good! FC Copenhagen and Midtjylland have even made it to the Champions League group phase in recent years! Both teams have had an extremely disappointing start to the season – especially result-wise. Indeed, Brondby are in 9th place in this league with three points in the bank and have won one match in Superliga. Their goal difference is 3:9. However, it is only a matter of time before they start climbing up the standings. I rate them as the 4th best team in this league in my power ratings that illustrate the teams’ class – the visitors are 9th in this ranking. We must not forget that last season Brondby played on the Championship group with other top 6 teams and finished 4th just one point behind Silkeborg. Furthermore, they were not bad in their most recent match in this league despite losing to the best team in this league, FC Copenhagen 1-4 away from home. They even recorded 51% ball possession and more attacks than the hosts who were very clear favorites in this match in the betting market.

Brondby suffered a bitter loss to a very good Swiss team Basel in Conference League qualification earlier this week. Basel were clear favorites to qualify according to the bookies. It was 2-1 for the Swiss hosts after 90 minutes and they qualified through penalties. In the first leg, the Danes were the better team and won 1-0 in front of enthusiastic fans recording much more goal attempts and dangerous attacks. Home advantage is big here as well! Brondby must be very disappointed now but can at least focus on this league and whilst the recovery time from Thursday’s game is a bit short, they still have a 57% chance to win. Odense, on the other hand, are a much smaller team by players’ total market value (9.6 million euros) than the hosts (33 million) according to respected website Transfermarkt.com and are worse than the hosts in every area of the game. Last season they played in the relegation group and finished 8th. They have been horrible this season so far and have just one point to their account. The biggest problem is defense – they have allowed 11 goals and I do not think they can stop Brondby’s talented strikers who have a point to prove after the bad start to the season. I expect Brondby to put massive pressure on the visitors’ shaky defense right from the kickoff and hopefully score a quick goal. Brondby do have some weakness in defense so Odense might score, and I predict 2-1 or 3-1.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

布隆德比主场迎战欧登塞,这是丹麦超级联赛第5轮在布隆德比球场进行的比赛。这是丹麦足球的最高水平,以欧洲的标准来看质量还不错,比瑞典的奥斯文斯坎要好。事实上,最优秀的丹麦球队是令人惊讶的优秀!最近几年,哥本哈根FC和米德日兰甚至进入了欧冠小组赛。两支球队都有一个非常令人失望的赛季开始,特别是结果。事实上,布隆德比目前在联赛中排名第9,拥有3分,并且在超级联赛中赢了一场比赛。他们的净胜球是3:9。然而,他们开始攀升排名只是时间问题。我认为他们在我的实力评级中排名第四,这说明了球队的级别——客队在这个排名中排名第九。我们不能忘记上赛季布隆德比和其他6强球队一起在英冠小组中,只比西尔克堡落后1分排在第4。此外,他们在最近的一场比赛中表现不错,尽管客场1比4输给了联赛中最好的球队哥本哈根FC。他们甚至记录了51%的控球率和比东道主更多的进攻,这些东道主在这场比赛的博彩市场上是非常受欢迎的。

布隆德比在本周早些时候的联赛资格赛中惨败给了一支非常优秀的瑞士球队巴塞尔。根据博彩公司的说法,巴塞尔显然是最有可能晋级的球队。90分钟后,东道主瑞士以2比1的比分晋级,他们通过点球晋级。在首回合比赛中,丹麦人表现更好,在热情的球迷面前以1-0获胜,他们的进球次数和危险的进攻次数都更多。这里的主场优势也很大!布隆德比现在肯定非常失望,但至少可以专注于联赛,虽然周四比赛的恢复时间有点短,但他们仍然有57%的机会赢得比赛。另一方面,根据知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,从球员的总市值(960万欧元)来看,欧登塞是一支比东道主(3300万欧元)小得多的球队,而且在比赛的各个方面都比东道主差。上个赛季,他们在保级组比赛,排名第8。到目前为止,他们本赛季表现很糟糕,只拿到了一分。最大的问题是防守——他们已经丢了11个球,我不认为他们能阻止布隆德比的天才前锋,他们在赛季糟糕的开局后有必要证明这一点。我希望布隆德比能从一开始就给客队不稳定的防守施加巨大压力,希望能很快打进一球。布隆德比的防守确实有一些弱点,所以欧登塞可能会得分,我预测是2比1或3比1。

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