River Plate vs Newells Old Boy

River Plate host Newelss Old Boys at Estadio Antonio Vespucio Liberti Buenos Aires for this Argentinian Liga Profesional round 13 clash Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Argentinian football and is of pretty good level by global standards. Similarly to many other South American Leagues it is quite low-scoring on average. This match does have higher goal expectancy than a most matches as especially the hosts do have very good offensive potential. However, neither team have convinced me offensively lately and I see this battle as a more low-scoring than the betting market does. I expect the visitors to play defensive, even cautious football - especially at the beginning of the match. This is, of course, good thing for the recommended bet +1.5 goals on Newells Old Boys. My fans and I will win as soon as they do not lose by more than one goal’s difference. The probability of winning is 66%.

River Plate are one of the biggest, most successful and traditional clubs in Argentina but have been very disappointing in Liga Profesional so far. The bookies and their fans – of whom many probably also bet on them – still seem to believe in them.. Too much in my opinion! They currently occupy the 10th place in the standings in this league with a total of 28 teams. They have 18 points to their account and a goal difference of 17:12. They have won just four of their most recent 10 matches. They been quite erratic – playing a few very good games but being awful many times too. They were good in their most recent match away from home beating Independiente – fully deservedly – 1-0. They were clear favorites in the betting market in this match though. Before this they were, however, humiliated at home against a pretty lowly team Sarmiento Junin and lost 1-2. They were priced around 1.25 in this match by the bookies! They did have over 80% ball possession but still managed only four shits on target and lacked creativity in offense. Their passing accuracy near the visitors’ goal could also have been better. Newells Old Boys are an okay team and would deserve more respect from the bookies. They have just one point less than the hots and have defended very well in most matches allowing just nine goals and scoring 10. In their most recent match, they would have deserved a home win but it was a goalless draw against a dangerous team Colon Santa Fe. They created much more in expected goals as well as scoring attempts (14-6) and shots on goal – six. The visitors failed to record any shots on the hosts’ goal! Before this they crushed Aldosivi 4-2 away from home and showed they can score goals!

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北京时间周日上午，河床队将在布宜诺斯艾利斯的安东尼奥·韦斯普西奥·Liberti球场迎战新老男孩队，进行阿根廷西甲联赛第13轮的比赛。这是阿根廷足球的第一梯队，以全球标准来看是相当不错的水平。与许多其他南美联赛类似，它的平均得分相当低。这场比赛确实比大多数比赛有更高的期望值，尤其是东道主有很好的进攻潜力。然而，这两支球队最近都没有在进攻端让我信服，我认为这场比赛比博彩市场的得分更低。我希望客队踢防守，甚至是谨慎的足球——尤其是在比赛开始的时候。当然，这对纽厄尔斯老男孩的推荐投注+1.5个目标来说是件好事。只要我和我的球迷输的球不超过一球，他们就会赢。获胜的概率是66%。

河床是阿根廷最大、最成功、最传统的俱乐部之一，但到目前为止，它在西甲联赛中表现得非常令人失望。博彩公司和他们的粉丝——其中许多人可能也下注了——似乎仍然相信他们。在我看来太多了!他们目前共有28支球队，在这个联赛中排名第10。他们有18分，净胜球17分12分。在最近的10场比赛中，他们只赢了4场。他们很不稳定——打了几场很好的比赛，但很多时候也很糟糕。在最近的一场客场比赛中，他们以1-0完胜独立队，这是实至名归。不过，在这场比赛中，他们显然是博彩市场的宠儿。然而，在此之前，他们在主场被一支实力相当低下的球队萨米恩托·朱宁(Sarmiento Junin)羞辱，1比2输掉了比赛。在这场比赛中，他们被博彩公司定价在1.25左右!他们的控球率确实超过了80%，但仍然只有4次射正，而且在进攻上缺乏创造力。他们在客队球门附近的传球精度本可以更好。Newells Old Boys是一支不错的球队，应该得到博彩公司更多的尊重。他们只比热队少一分，在大多数比赛中防守很好，只丢了9球，进了10球。在最近的一场比赛中，他们本应该在主场赢得一场胜利，但却以零比零战平了一支危险的球队科隆圣达菲。他们创造了更多的预期进球、射门(14-6)和射门(6次)。客队没有记录到东道主的进球!在此之前，他们在客场4-2击败了奥多西维，并证明了他们可以进球!